- Park+7%
- Temp+5%
- vs SP+13%
- Contact-28%
- SP Contact-6%
- SP Statcast-3%
- ·87F game
- ·Soft contact profile (season) — below league
▸Model inputs
No home runs in the tracked window yet — the money zone fills in as he goes yard.
🐾 = a game he homered. The shaded band is the price range on those games — his money zone. Tonight's diamond glows when it lands inside it. Prices are model-implied fair odds until a live book line is captured.
▸Projection & contact detail(Monte Carlo model inputs)
🐾 = split that matches tonight (Home). Jade = better than league average for HR upside (high HR-FB / Hard / Pull / FB; low Soft).
- Yankee Stadium mild HR boost (+7)
- 88°F — ball flies in warm air
- 20 mph wind — check direction relative to spray
- High barrels/PA (6.2%)
Tip: cross-reference the matchup math with your sportsbook line — only fire when your model edge clears the juice.
| Date | Opp | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 | vs CHW | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .500 |
| 06-14 | @ TOR | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 |
| 06-13 | @ TOR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 06-12 | @ TOR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 06-10 | @ CLE | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | — |
| 06-08 | @ CLE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 06-07 | vs BOS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | — |
Yankee Stadium. 100 = league average; higher = HR-friendlier. 🐾 Highlighted side matches Sánchez.
- FF4-Seam FastballUse%37xwOBA—Whiff%—HH%—BRL%—Pull%—
- CUCurveballUse%22xwOBA—Whiff%—HH%—BRL%—Pull%—
- SLSliderUse%17xwOBA—Whiff%—HH%—BRL%—Pull%—
| Pitch | Use% | BRL%-A | HH%-A | Pull% | xwOBA | Put% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FF⚡ PUT-AWAY | 36.9 | 11.8 | 37.3 | 48 | .305 | 19.5 |
| CU | 21.7 | — | 40.5 | — | .292 | 19.1 |
| SL | 17.1 | 5.6 | 32.4 | 69 | .290 | 17.4 |
| SI | 16.0 | 2.3 | 34.9 | 51 | .333 | 11.1 |
| Split | BRL%-A | HH%-A | Pull% | xwOBA | Put% | PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB🐾 EXPLOIT | 11.9 | 40.7 | 58 | .362 | 17.5 | 92 |
| vs RHB⚡ PUT-AWAY | 11.8 | 38.2 | 32 | .219 | 22.8 | 64 |
| Split | BRL%-A | HH%-A | Pull% | xwOBA | Put% | PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB⚡ PUT-AWAY | 0.0 | 37.5 | 50 | .284 | 21.7 | 17 |
| vs RHB | 7.1 | 28.6 | 75 | .295 | 14.8 | 38 |
| Split | BRL%-A | HH%-A | Pull% | xwOBA | Put% | PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB | 6.2 | 50.0 | 50 | .358 | 19.0 | 24 |
| vs RHB | 0.0 | 25.9 | 52 | .317 | 10.5 | 33 |
🐾 Jade-ringed cells = top 4 HR-vulnerability flags (above-league BRL%-A, HH%-A, Pull%, xwOBA on this pitch). The pitches getting hammered. ⚡ PUT-AWAY = his go-to out-pitch (highest 2-strike K rate · 19.5% put-away); a 🐾 EXPLOIT tag means even that pitch is getting hit hard. Platoon detail below breaks each pitch into vs-LHB / vs-RHB — the jade-tagged side is the one hitting it hardest (the exploit), and the ⚡ PUT-AWAY tag marks his top out-pitch separately vs each hand.
Heatmap below = season aggregate. Click a pitch chip to filter.
| Split | ISO | SLG | OPS | BRL% | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP6PA | — | .200 | .533 | 40.0% | 0 |
| vs LHP9PA | .111 | .444 | .777 | — | 0 |
| Split | ISO | SLG | OPS | BRL% | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐾Home6PA | — | .333 | .666 | 22.2% | 0 |
| Away9PA | .125 | .375 | .708 | — | 0 |
| Split | ISO | SLG | OPS | BRL% | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day9PA | .125 | .375 | .708 | 12.5% | 0 |
| 🐾Night6PA | — | .333 | .666 | 20.0% | 0 |
| Split | ISO | SLG | OPS | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bases Empty4PA | — | .250 | .500 | 0 |
| Runners On10PA | .111 | .444 | .844 | 0 |
| RISP5PA | — | .250 | .650 | 0 |
| Split | ISO | SLG | OPS | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Outs2PA | — | — | — | 0 |
| 1 Out5PA | .200 | .600 | 1.000 | 0 |
| 2 Outs8PA | — | .286 | .661 | 0 |
🐾 = the split that matches tonight. Home · Night · Thu.