🐾
Top Dawgs
Tonight's strongest HR plays — top hitter from each side of each matchup.· Includes projected lineups (auto-corrects when official posts)
- 1
Kyle SchwarberPHI vs NYM · Sean ManaeaMOST LIKELY🔒 DOUBLE LOCK+6.3pp vs #2💰 VALUEMED CONF🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾53.4%-115book +1200- ✓Park boost +31 for LHB
- ✓Elite 20.8% barrels
- ✓51% hard-hit
- 2
Juan SotoNYM @ PHI · Aaron NolaRHPMOST LIKELY🔒 DOUBLE LOCK+8.1pp vs #3💰 VALUEMED CONF🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾47.1%+112book +1500- ✓Park boost +31 for LHB
- ✓Elite 15.3% barrels
- ✓50% hard-hit
- 3
Ben RiceNYY vs CHW · Sean BurkeMOST LIKELYEDGE+0.6pp vs #4💰 VALUEMED CONF🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾39.1%+156book +1500- ✓Park boost +17 for LHB
- ✓Elite 15.4% barrels
- ✓48% hard-hit
- 4
Colson MontgomeryCHW @ NYY · Ryan WeathersPRIME SPOTS-TIER+15.8pp vs #5💰 VALUEMED CONF🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾38.4%+160book +350- ✓Park boost +17 for LHB
- ✓Ryan Weathers 1.82 HR/9
- ✓Elite 13.9% barrels
- 5
Bryce EldridgeSF @ ATL · Martín PérezBEST VALUEHOT+-13.5pp vs #6💰 VALUEMED CONF🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾22.6%+343book +8000- ✓Crushes 2 of SP's top 3 (CH, SI)
- ✓Elite HR/FB 17% (vs 10% lg)
- ✓Hard% 46% > league
- 6
Byron BuxtonMIN @ TEX · Jack LeiterMOST LIKELYS-TIER+4.9pp vs #7💰 VALUEMED CONF🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾36.1%+177book +285- ✓Elite 18.9% barrels
- ✓50% hard-hit
- ✓Crushes 3 of SP's top 3 (FF, SL, FC)
- 7
Nick KurtzATH vs LAA · José SorianoMOST LIKELYS-TIER+6.3pp vs #8💰 VALUEMED CONF🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾31.2%+221book +2300- ✓Elite 17.9% barrels
- ✓58% hard-hit
- ✓Max EV 116
- 8
Dominic CanzoneSEA vs BAL · Shane BazBEST VALUEEDGE+-1.6pp vs #9💰 VALUEMED CONF🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾24.9%+302book +4500- ✓T-Mobile Park mild park boost
- ✓Elite 15.8% barrels
- ✓50% hard-hit
- 9
Gary SánchezMIL vs CLE · Parker MessickMOST LIKELYHOT+-2.7pp vs #10💰 VALUEMED CONF🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾26.5%+277book +500- ✓American Family Field mild park boost
- ✓Crushes 3 of SP's top 3 (FF, SI, CU)
- ✓Elite HR/FB 16% (vs 10% lg)
- 10
Mike TroutLAA @ ATH · Gage JumpMOST LIKELYS-TIER💰 VALUEMED CONF🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾29.2%+242book +305- ✓Sutter Health Park mild park boost
- ✓Elite 20.9% barrels
- ✓51% hard-hit
💎
Hidden Gems6
Low-power bats the matchup just lit up — biggest HR lift over their own baseline (park · platoon · SP weakness · barrels).
- Carson Benge2.00× LIFTVALUENYM @ PHI · Aaron NolaRHPPark +31%SP yields HRspitcher_contact18.3%base 2.6%book +475
- Braden Montgomery1.99× LIFTCHW @ NYY · Ryan WeathersHard-contact leanPark +17%SP yields HRs16.1%base 2.4%book +500
- Brandon Marsh1.87× LIFT💰 VALUEPHI vs NYM · Sean ManaeaPark +31%Hard-contact leanSP yields HRs18.6%base 2.7%book +7000
- Drew Romo1.67× LIFTCHW @ NYY · Ryan WeathersPark +17%SP yields HRspitcher_contact15.3%base 2.7%
- Amed Rosario1.54× LIFTNYY vs CHW · Sean BurkeHard-contact leanBarrel/EV profileSP yields HRs13.9%base 2.5%
- Bryson Stott1.43× LIFTVALUEPHI vs NYM · Sean ManaeaPark +31%SP yields HRspitcher_contact13.0%base 2.6%book +700
BDE
When
Live
Team
- #1Juan SotoLHBProjected#3NYM@PHI·Aaron NolaRHP27.2%+268P(HR)ISO .258🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾4:40 PM MT · Citizens Bank ParkISO.258Brl%15.3HH%49.7xwOBA.421HR/9 (P)1.67Park131Park boost +31 for LHBElite 15.3% barrels50% hard-hitMax EV 114Crushes 4 of SP's top 3 (CU, FF, SI, CH)Elite HR/FB 21% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 43% > leagueAaron Nola allows 17% HR/FBPark boost (131)Elite barrel% (15.3)High barrels/PA (11.0%)Pitcher HR-prone (1.67 HR/9)
- #2Miguel VargasRHB✓ Confirmed#3CHW@NYY·Ryan Weathers25.9%+286P(HR)ISO .240🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾5:05 PM MT · Yankee StadiumISO.240Brl%14.4HH%45.2xwOBA.401HR/9 (P)1.82Park107Yankee Stadium mild park boostRyan Weathers 1.82 HR/9Elite 14.4% barrelsCrushes 3 of SP's top 3 (FF, CH, SI)Elite HR/FB 15% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 42% > leaguePulls 46% — favors HR sideRyan Weathers allows 16% HR/FBElite barrel% (14.4)High barrels/PA (9.6%)Pitcher HR-prone (1.82 HR/9)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (11.9% brl)
- #3Colson MontgomeryLHB✓ Confirmed#4CHW@NYY·Ryan Weathers24.8%+303P(HR)ISO .277🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾5:05 PM MT · Yankee StadiumISO.277Brl%13.9HH%46.7xwOBA.328HR/9 (P)1.82Park117Park boost +17 for LHBRyan Weathers 1.82 HR/9Elite 13.9% barrelsMax EV 114Crushes 1 of SP's top 3 (CH)15d hot streak .907 OPSElite HR/FB 20% (vs 10% lg)Pulls 52% — favors HR sideRyan Weathers allows 16% HR/FBPark boost (117)Elite barrel% (13.9)High barrels/PA (8.0%)Pitcher HR-prone (1.82 HR/9)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (11.9% brl)
- #4Andrew BenintendiLHBBenchCHW@NYY·Ryan Weathers23.1%+333P(HR)ISO .184🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾5:05 PM MT · Yankee StadiumISO.184Brl%10.8HH%48.3xwOBA.322HR/9 (P)1.82Park117Park boost +17 for LHBRyan Weathers 1.82 HR/948% hard-hitCrushes 1 of SP's top 3 (ST)15d hot streak .989 OPSElite HR/FB 13% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 38% > leaguePulls 58% — favors HR sideRyan Weathers allows 16% HR/FBPark boost (117)High barrels/PA (7.0%)Pitcher HR-prone (1.82 HR/9)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (11.9% brl)
- #5Byron BuxtonRHB✓ Confirmed#2MIN@
TEX·Jack Leiter22.1%+352P(HR)ISO .326🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾12:35 PM MT · Globe Life FieldISO.326Brl%18.9HH%49.7xwOBA.350HR/9 (P)1.42Park91Elite 18.9% barrels50% hard-hitCrushes 3 of SP's top 3 (FF, SL, FC)15d hot streak 1.300 OPSElite HR/FB 20% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 39% > leaguePulls 52% — favors HR sideJack Leiter allows 15% HR/FBPark drag (91)Elite barrel% (18.9)High barrels/PA (12.4%)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (10.0% brl) - #6Braden MontgomerySHB✓ Confirmed#6CHW@NYY·Ryan Weathers21.8%+358P(HR)🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾5:05 PM MT · Yankee StadiumISO—Brl%7.5HH%0.0xwOBA.000HR/9 (P)1.82Park117Park boost +17 for SHBRyan Weathers 1.82 HR/9Elite HR/FB 13% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 40% > leagueRyan Weathers allows 16% HR/FBPark boost (117)High barrels/PA (6.2%)Pitcher HR-prone (1.82 HR/9)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (11.9% brl)
- #7Drew RomoSHBBenchCHW@NYY·Ryan Weathers21.8%+358P(HR)🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾5:05 PM MT · Yankee StadiumISO—Brl%7.5HH%0.0xwOBA.000HR/9 (P)1.82Park117Park boost +17 for SHBRyan Weathers 1.82 HR/9Crushes 1 of SP's top 3 (SI)Elite HR/FB 14% (vs 10% lg)Pulls 50% — favors HR sideRyan Weathers allows 16% HR/FBPark boost (117)High barrels/PA (6.2%)Pitcher HR-prone (1.82 HR/9)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (11.9% brl)
- #8Kyle SchwarberLHBProjected#2PHIvsNYM·Sean Manaea21.5%+365P(HR)ISO .320🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾4:40 PM MT · Citizens Bank ParkISO.320Brl%20.8HH%50.9xwOBA.377HR/9 (P)1.10Park131Park boost +31 for LHBElite 20.8% barrels51% hard-hitMax EV 113Crushes 1 of SP's top 3 (SI)Elite HR/FB 32% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 45% > leaguePulls 56% — favors HR sidePark boost (131)Elite barrel% (20.8)High barrels/PA (10.3%)
- #9
Bobby Witt Jr.RHBProjected#2KCvs
STL·Matthew Liberatore21.1%+374P(HR)ISO .161🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾5:40 PM MT · Kauffman StadiumISO.161Brl%11.6HH%52.1xwOBA.387HR/9 (P)1.79Park97Matthew Liberatore 1.79 HR/952% hard-hitMax EV 116Crushes 2 of SP's top 3 (FF, CH)Hard% 44% > leagueMatthew Liberatore allows 15% HR/FBHigh barrels/PA (8.4%)Pitcher HR-prone (1.79 HR/9)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (10.2% brl) - #10Sam AntonacciLHBBenchCHW@NYY·Ryan Weathers20.9%+379P(HR)ISO .114🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾5:05 PM MT · Yankee StadiumISO.114Brl%7.9HH%36.0xwOBA.373HR/9 (P)1.82Park117Park boost +17 for LHBRyan Weathers 1.82 HR/9Crushes 2 of SP's top 3 (FF, SI)15d hot streak .972 OPSRyan Weathers allows 16% HR/FBPark boost (117)High barrels/PA (5.6%)Pitcher HR-prone (1.82 HR/9)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (11.9% brl)
- #11Carson BengeLHBProjected#1NYM@PHI·Aaron NolaRHP20.2%+396P(HR)ISO .131🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾4:40 PM MT · Citizens Bank ParkISO.131Brl%9.0HH%43.2xwOBA.347HR/9 (P)1.67Park131Park boost +31 for LHBAaron Nola allows 17% HR/FBPark boost (131)High barrels/PA (6.4%)Pitcher HR-prone (1.67 HR/9)
- #12A.J. EwingLHBProjected#5NYM@PHI·Aaron NolaRHP19.8%+405P(HR)🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾4:40 PM MT · Citizens Bank ParkISO—Brl%7.5HH%0.0xwOBA.000HR/9 (P)1.67Park131Park boost +31 for LHBCrushes 2 of SP's top 3 (FF, CH)Elite HR/FB 14% (vs 10% lg)Aaron Nola allows 17% HR/FBPark boost (131)High barrels/PA (6.2%)Pitcher HR-prone (1.67 HR/9)
- #13Bryce HarperLHBProjected#3PHIvsNYM·Sean Manaea19.6%+409P(HR)ISO .231🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾4:40 PM MT · Citizens Bank ParkISO.231Brl%12.9HH%44.6xwOBA.405HR/9 (P)1.10Park131Park boost +31 for LHBMax EV 114Crushes 2 of SP's top 3 (FF, ST)Elite HR/FB 21% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 42% > leaguePark boost (131)Elite barrel% (12.9)High barrels/PA (8.5%)
- #14Shea LangeliersRHBProjected#2ATHvsLAA·José Soriano19.3%+419P(HR)ISO .247🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾7:40 PM MT · Sutter Health ParkISO.247Brl%14.4HH%43.7xwOBA.375HR/9 (P)0.93Park114Sutter Health Park mild park boostElite 14.4% barrelsMax EV 114Crushes 3 of SP's top 3 (SI, CU, FF)Elite HR/FB 17% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 41% > leagueJosé Soriano allows 14% HR/FBPark boost (114)Elite barrel% (14.4)High barrels/PA (10.4%)
- #15Kody ClemensLHB✓ Confirmed#3MIN@TEX·Jack Leiter18.7%+434P(HR)ISO .242🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾12:35 PM MT · Globe Life FieldISO.242Brl%13.3HH%44.0xwOBA.337HR/9 (P)1.42Park94Elite 13.3% barrelsCrushes 2 of SP's top 3 (CH, FC)15d hot streak 1.118 OPSElite HR/FB 16% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 44% > leaguePulls 47% — favors HR sideJack Leiter allows 15% HR/FBElite barrel% (13.3)High barrels/PA (9.2%)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (10.0% brl)
- #16Mike TroutRHBProjected#2LAA@ATH·Gage Jump17.8%+461P(HR)ISO .238🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾7:40 PM MT · Sutter Health ParkISO.238Brl%20.9HH%51.1xwOBA.412HR/9 (P)1.20Park114Sutter Health Park mild park boostElite 20.9% barrels51% hard-hitMax EV 115Crushes 2 of SP's top 3 (FF, ST)Elite HR/FB 19% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 43% > leaguePark boost (114)Elite barrel% (20.9)High barrels/PA (11.3%)
- #17Ben RiceLHB✓ Confirmed#1NYYvsCHW·Sean Burke17.8%+463P(HR)ISO .320🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾5:05 PM MT · Yankee StadiumISO.320Brl%15.4HH%48.4xwOBA.393HR/9 (P)1.11Park117Park boost +17 for LHBElite 15.4% barrels48% hard-hitCrushes 2 of SP's top 3 (FF, SL)Elite HR/FB 29% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 44% > leaguePulls 49% — favors HR sidePark boost (117)Elite barrel% (15.4)High barrels/PA (9.7%)
- #18Dominic CanzoneLHB✓ Confirmed#4SEAvs
BAL·Shane Baz17.8%+463P(HR)ISO .282🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾2:10 PM MT · T-Mobile ParkISO.282Brl%15.8HH%49.6xwOBA.389HR/9 (P)0.88Park108T-Mobile Park mild park boostElite 15.8% barrels50% hard-hitMax EV 115Crushes 3 of SP's top 3 (FF, CU, FC)15d hot streak 1.281 OPSElite HR/FB 23% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 46% > leagueElite barrel% (15.8)High barrels/PA (11.1%) - #19Tristan PetersLHB✓ Confirmed#9CHW@NYY·Ryan Weathers17.5%+473P(HR)ISO .156🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾5:05 PM MT · Yankee StadiumISO.156Brl%4.8HH%27.4xwOBA.305HR/9 (P)1.82Park117Park boost +17 for LHBRyan Weathers 1.82 HR/915d hot streak .967 OPSPulls 55% — favors HR sideRyan Weathers allows 16% HR/FBPark boost (117)Pitcher HR-prone (1.82 HR/9)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (11.9% brl)
- #20Brett BatyLHBProjected#7NYM@PHI·Aaron NolaRHP17.3%+479P(HR)ISO .092🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾4:40 PM MT · Citizens Bank ParkISO.092Brl%7.3HH%38.7xwOBA.296HR/9 (P)1.67Park131Park boost +31 for LHBCrushes 1 of SP's top 3 (CU)Aaron Nola allows 17% HR/FBPark boost (131)High barrels/PA (4.5%)Pitcher HR-prone (1.67 HR/9)
- #21Jac CaglianoneLHBProjected#4KCvsSTL·Matthew Liberatore17.3%+480P(HR)ISO .164🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾5:40 PM MT · Kauffman StadiumISO.164Brl%14.2HH%56.8xwOBA.356HR/9 (P)1.79Park79Matthew Liberatore 1.79 HR/9Elite 14.2% barrels57% hard-hitMax EV 116Crushes 2 of SP's top 3 (FF, SL)15d hot streak 1.027 OPSElite HR/FB 23% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 42% > leaguePulls 48% — favors HR sideMatthew Liberatore allows 15% HR/FBPark drag (79)Elite barrel% (14.2)High barrels/PA (8.5%)Pitcher HR-prone (1.79 HR/9)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (10.2% brl)
- #22Salvador PerezRHBProjected#6KCvsSTL·Matthew Liberatore17.0%+490P(HR)ISO .122🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾5:40 PM MT · Kauffman StadiumISO.122Brl%7.8HH%39.9xwOBA.282HR/9 (P)1.79Park97Matthew Liberatore 1.79 HR/9Matthew Liberatore allows 15% HR/FBHigh barrels/PA (5.8%)Pitcher HR-prone (1.79 HR/9)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (10.2% brl)
- #23Jordan WalkerRHBProjected#3STL@KC·Noah Cameron16.9%+491P(HR)ISO .249🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾5:40 PM MT · Kauffman StadiumISO.249Brl%14.1HH%52.7xwOBA.370HR/9 (P)1.03Park97Elite 14.1% barrels53% hard-hitMax EV 117Crushes 1 of SP's top 3 (FC)Elite HR/FB 22% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 46% > leagueElite barrel% (14.1)High barrels/PA (9.5%)
- #24Mark VientosRHBProjectedNYM@PHI·Aaron NolaRHP16.9%+491P(HR)ISO .161🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾4:40 PM MT · Citizens Bank ParkISO.161Brl%10.1HH%44.0xwOBA.314HR/9 (P)1.67Park92Elite HR/FB 14% (vs 10% lg)Aaron Nola allows 17% HR/FBPark drag (92)High barrels/PA (7.4%)Pitcher HR-prone (1.67 HR/9)
- #25Luke RaleyLHBBenchSEAvsBAL·Shane Baz16.7%+500P(HR)ISO .262🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾2:10 PM MT · T-Mobile ParkISO.262Brl%16.7HH%47.6xwOBA.359HR/9 (P)0.88Park108T-Mobile Park mild park boostElite 16.7% barrelsMax EV 114Crushes 2 of SP's top 3 (FF, FC)Elite HR/FB 22% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 40% > leaguePulls 46% — favors HR sideElite barrel% (16.7)High barrels/PA (10.0%)
- #26Josh BellSHB✓ Confirmed#5MIN@TEX·Jack Leiter16.2%+517P(HR)ISO .145🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾12:35 PM MT · Globe Life FieldISO.145Brl%10.2HH%42.1xwOBA.312HR/9 (P)1.42Park94Crushes 2 of SP's top 3 (SL, FC)15d hot streak .866 OPSJack Leiter allows 15% HR/FBHigh barrels/PA (7.0%)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (10.0% brl)
- #27Royce LewisRHB✓ Confirmed#4MIN@TEX·Jack Leiter15.9%+531P(HR)ISO .163🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾12:35 PM MT · Globe Life FieldISO.163Brl%12.1HH%41.4xwOBA.300HR/9 (P)1.42Park91Crushes 1 of SP's top 3 (FC)15d hot streak 1.003 OPSPulls 50% — favors HR sideJack Leiter allows 15% HR/FBPark drag (91)Elite barrel% (12.1)High barrels/PA (7.5%)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (10.0% brl)
- #28Michael MasseyLHBProjectedKCvsSTL·Matthew Liberatore15.5%+544P(HR)ISO .205🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾5:40 PM MT · Kauffman StadiumISO.205Brl%8.8HH%42.6xwOBA.287HR/9 (P)1.79Park79Matthew Liberatore 1.79 HR/915d hot streak .805 OPSPulls 50% — favors HR sideMatthew Liberatore allows 15% HR/FBPark drag (79)High barrels/PA (7.0%)Pitcher HR-prone (1.79 HR/9)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (10.2% brl)
- #29Eric WagamanRHBProjectedNYM@PHI·Aaron NolaRHP15.5%+547P(HR)🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾4:40 PM MT · Citizens Bank ParkISO—Brl%7.5HH%0.0xwOBA.000HR/9 (P)1.67Park92Elite HR/FB 25% (vs 10% lg)Aaron Nola allows 17% HR/FBPark drag (92)High barrels/PA (6.2%)Pitcher HR-prone (1.67 HR/9)
- #30Francisco AlvarezRHBProjected#8NYM@PHI·Aaron NolaRHP15.5%+547P(HR)🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾4:40 PM MT · Citizens Bank ParkISO—Brl%7.5HH%0.0xwOBA.000HR/9 (P)1.67Park92Crushes 2 of SP's top 3 (FF, CH)Elite HR/FB 18% (vs 10% lg)Pulls 47% — favors HR sideAaron Nola allows 17% HR/FBPark drag (92)High barrels/PA (6.2%)Pitcher HR-prone (1.67 HR/9)
- #31Bryson StottLHBProjected#7PHIvsNYM·Sean Manaea15.4%+548P(HR)ISO .158🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾4:40 PM MT · Citizens Bank ParkISO.158Brl%7.2HH%40.7xwOBA.312HR/9 (P)1.10Park131Park boost +31 for LHB15d hot streak .864 OPSPark boost (131)High barrels/PA (5.5%)
- #32Marcus SemienRHBProjected#6NYM@PHI·Aaron NolaRHP15.3%+552P(HR)ISO .131🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾4:40 PM MT · Citizens Bank ParkISO.131Brl%8.6HH%34.9xwOBA.325HR/9 (P)1.67Park92Crushes 2 of SP's top 3 (SI, CH)Pulls 50% — favors HR sideAaron Nola allows 17% HR/FBPark drag (92)High barrels/PA (6.1%)Pitcher HR-prone (1.67 HR/9)
- #33Brandon MarshLHBProjected#5PHIvsNYM·Sean Manaea15.2%+559P(HR)ISO .177🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾4:40 PM MT · Citizens Bank ParkISO.177Brl%7.5HH%46.8xwOBA.333HR/9 (P)1.10Park131Park boost +31 for LHBCrushes 2 of SP's top 3 (FF, SI)15d hot streak .903 OPSElite HR/FB 17% (vs 10% lg)Park boost (131)High barrels/PA (5.3%)
- #34Edgar QueroSHB✓ Confirmed#5CHW@NYY·Ryan Weathers15.2%+560P(HR)ISO .051🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾5:05 PM MT · Yankee StadiumISO.051Brl%1.9HH%34.3xwOBA.253HR/9 (P)1.82Park117Park boost +17 for SHBRyan Weathers 1.82 HR/9Ryan Weathers allows 16% HR/FBPark boost (117)Pitcher HR-prone (1.82 HR/9)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (11.9% brl)
- #35Tristan GrayLHB✓ Confirmed#8MIN@TEX·Jack Leiter15.2%+560P(HR)🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾12:35 PM MT · Globe Life FieldISO—Brl%7.5HH%0.0xwOBA.000HR/9 (P)1.42Park94Crushes 1 of SP's top 3 (FC)Pulls 46% — favors HR sideJack Leiter allows 15% HR/FBHigh barrels/PA (6.2%)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (10.0% brl)
- #36Chase MeidrothRHB✓ Confirmed#1CHW@NYY·Ryan Weathers15.1%+564P(HR)ISO .121🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾5:05 PM MT · Yankee StadiumISO.121Brl%5.0HH%36.0xwOBA.293HR/9 (P)1.82Park107Yankee Stadium mild park boostRyan Weathers 1.82 HR/9Crushes 1 of SP's top 3 (FF)15d hot streak .781 OPSRyan Weathers allows 16% HR/FBPitcher HR-prone (1.82 HR/9)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (11.9% brl)
- #37Paul GoldschmidtRHB✓ Confirmed#2NYYvsCHW·Sean Burke14.8%+574P(HR)ISO .259🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾5:05 PM MT · Yankee StadiumISO.259Brl%12.0HH%40.6xwOBA.363HR/9 (P)1.11Park107Yankee Stadium mild park boostCrushes 1 of SP's top 3 (FF)15d hot streak .997 OPSElite HR/FB 22% (vs 10% lg)Elite barrel% (12.0)High barrels/PA (8.6%)
- #38Isaac CollinsSHBProjected#8KCvsSTL·Matthew Liberatore14.8%+576P(HR)ISO .083🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾5:40 PM MT · Kauffman StadiumISO.083Brl%6.8HH%39.5xwOBA.308HR/9 (P)1.79Park97Matthew Liberatore 1.79 HR/9Matthew Liberatore allows 15% HR/FBHigh barrels/PA (4.1%)Pitcher HR-prone (1.79 HR/9)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (10.2% brl)
- #39John RaveLHBProjectedKCvsSTL·Matthew Liberatore14.6%+582P(HR)🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾5:40 PM MT · Kauffman StadiumISO—Brl%7.5HH%0.0xwOBA.000HR/9 (P)1.79Park79Matthew Liberatore 1.79 HR/9Elite HR/FB 17% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 64% > leaguePulls 64% — favors HR sideMatthew Liberatore allows 15% HR/FBPark drag (79)High barrels/PA (6.2%)Pitcher HR-prone (1.79 HR/9)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (10.2% brl)
- #40Bo BichetteRHBProjected#2NYM@PHI·Aaron NolaRHP14.6%+585P(HR)ISO .124🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾4:40 PM MT · Citizens Bank ParkISO.124Brl%7.3HH%45.3xwOBA.334HR/9 (P)1.67Park92Max EV 115Crushes 1 of SP's top 3 (CU)15d hot streak 1.158 OPSAaron Nola allows 17% HR/FBPark drag (92)High barrels/PA (5.6%)Pitcher HR-prone (1.67 HR/9)
- #41Brandon NimmoLHB✓ Confirmed#4TEXvsMIN·Joe Ryan14.6%+586P(HR)ISO .151🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾12:35 PM MT · Globe Life FieldISO.151Brl%10.9HH%52.6xwOBA.372HR/9 (P)0.88Park9453% hard-hitCrushes 2 of SP's top 3 (ST, SI)Hard% 46% > leagueHigh barrels/PA (7.6%)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (10.5% brl)
- #42Nick KurtzLHBProjected#1ATHvsLAA·José Soriano14.4%+592P(HR)ISO .261🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾7:40 PM MT · Sutter Health ParkISO.261Brl%17.9HH%57.7xwOBA.395HR/9 (P)0.93Park95Elite 17.9% barrels58% hard-hitMax EV 116Crushes 2 of SP's top 3 (CU, FF)15d hot streak 1.156 OPSElite HR/FB 27% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 48% > leagueJosé Soriano allows 14% HR/FBElite barrel% (17.9)High barrels/PA (9.0%)
- #43Lane ThomasRHBProjected#1KCvsSTL·Matthew Liberatore14.4%+594P(HR)ISO .130🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾5:40 PM MT · Kauffman StadiumISO.130Brl%5.5HH%36.4xwOBA.324HR/9 (P)1.79Park97Matthew Liberatore 1.79 HR/9Crushes 1 of SP's top 3 (CH)15d hot streak .886 OPSPulls 50% — favors HR sideMatthew Liberatore allows 15% HR/FBPitcher HR-prone (1.79 HR/9)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (10.2% brl)
- #44Samuel BasalloLHB✓ Confirmed#5BAL@SEA·Bryan Woo14.4%+595P(HR)ISO .203🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾2:10 PM MT · T-Mobile ParkISO.203Brl%12.2HH%45.9xwOBA.343HR/9 (P)0.99Park108T-Mobile Park mild park boostCrushes 1 of SP's top 3 (SI)Elite HR/FB 22% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 38% > leaguePulls 46% — favors HR sideElite barrel% (12.2)High barrels/PA (8.1%)
- #45Cal RaleighSHB✓ Confirmed#2SEAvsBAL·Shane Baz14.2%+603P(HR)ISO .149🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾2:10 PM MT · T-Mobile ParkISO.149Brl%12.5HH%31.3xwOBA.300HR/9 (P)0.88Park108T-Mobile Park mild park boostPulls 56% — favors HR sideElite barrel% (12.5)High barrels/PA (7.4%)
- #46Logan O'HoppeRHBProjected#9LAA@ATH·Gage Jump14.2%+603P(HR)ISO .111🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾7:40 PM MT · Sutter Health ParkISO.111Brl%12.2HH%39.1xwOBA.289HR/9 (P)1.20Park114Sutter Health Park mild park boostMax EV 114Crushes 2 of SP's top 3 (FF, CU)15d hot streak .940 OPSPulls 47% — favors HR sidePark boost (114)Elite barrel% (12.2)High barrels/PA (8.2%)
- #47Jackson ChourioRHB✓ Confirmed#2MILvs
CLE·Parker Messick14.1%+609P(HR)ISO .258🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾12:10 PM MT · American Family FieldISO.258Brl%15.1HH%48.3xwOBA.358HR/9 (P)0.90Park108American Family Field mild park boostElite 15.1% barrels48% hard-hitMax EV 113Crushes 1 of SP's top 3 (SI)15d hot streak 1.218 OPSElite HR/FB 17% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 39% > leagueElite barrel% (15.1)High barrels/PA (10.4%) - #48Alika WilliamsRHBProjectedATHvsLAA·José Soriano14.0%+614P(HR)🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾7:40 PM MT · Sutter Health ParkISO—Brl%7.5HH%0.0xwOBA.000HR/9 (P)0.93Park114Sutter Health Park mild park boostHard% 39% > leagueJosé Soriano allows 14% HR/FBPark boost (114)High barrels/PA (6.2%)
- #49Maikel GarciaRHBProjected#3KCvsSTL·Matthew Liberatore13.9%+618P(HR)ISO .112🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾5:40 PM MT · Kauffman StadiumISO.112Brl%5.1HH%41.5xwOBA.322HR/9 (P)1.79Park97Matthew Liberatore 1.79 HR/9Crushes 1 of SP's top 3 (CU)Matthew Liberatore allows 15% HR/FBPitcher HR-prone (1.79 HR/9)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (10.2% brl)
- #50Carter JensenLHBProjected#9KCvsSTL·Matthew Liberatore13.9%+621P(HR)ISO .181🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾5:40 PM MT · Kauffman StadiumISO.181Brl%8.8HH%43.4xwOBA.282HR/9 (P)1.79Park79Matthew Liberatore 1.79 HR/9Max EV 11415d hot streak .816 OPSHard% 39% > leagueMatthew Liberatore allows 15% HR/FBPark drag (79)High barrels/PA (5.5%)Pitcher HR-prone (1.79 HR/9)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (10.2% brl)
- #51Ryan McMahonLHB✓ Confirmed#8NYYvsCHW·Sean Burke13.8%+625P(HR)ISO .141🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾5:05 PM MT · Yankee StadiumISO.141Brl%10.1HH%49.2xwOBA.297HR/9 (P)1.11Park117Park boost +17 for LHB49% hard-hitElite HR/FB 17% (vs 10% lg)Park boost (117)High barrels/PA (6.2%)
- #52
Drake BaldwinLHBProjected#1ATLvsSF·Landen RouppRHP13.6%+638P(HR)ISO .242🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾5:15 PM MT · Truist ParkISO.242Brl%18.7HH%52.7xwOBA.410HR/9 (P)0.49Park100Elite 18.7% barrels53% hard-hitCrushes 1 of SP's top 3 (SI)Elite HR/FB 21% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 41% > leagueElite barrel% (18.7)High barrels/PA (12.4%)Pitcher suppresses HR (0.49 HR/9) - #53Alec BurlesonLHBProjected#5STL@KC·Noah Cameron13.5%+641P(HR)ISO .203🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾5:40 PM MT · Kauffman StadiumISO.203Brl%11.5HH%47.7xwOBA.390HR/9 (P)1.03Park79Crushes 3 of SP's top 3 (FF, FC, CU)15d hot streak 1.030 OPSElite HR/FB 14% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 40% > leaguePulls 50% — favors HR sidePark drag (79)High barrels/PA (8.7%)
- #54Victor CaratiniSHB✓ Confirmed#7MIN@TEX·Jack Leiter13.4%+645P(HR)ISO .104🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾12:35 PM MT · Globe Life FieldISO.104Brl%6.8HH%39.4xwOBA.339HR/9 (P)1.42Park94Crushes 1 of SP's top 3 (FC)15d hot streak 1.125 OPSJack Leiter allows 15% HR/FBHigh barrels/PA (4.6%)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (10.0% brl)
- #55
Jesús SánchezLHB✓ Confirmed#3TOR@
BOS·Sonny Gray13.4%+645P(HR)ISO .177🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾11:35 AM MT · Fenway ParkISO.177Brl%11.5HH%46.5xwOBA.344HR/9 (P)0.87Park102Crushes 2 of SP's top 3 (FC, CU)Hard% 39% > leagueHigh barrels/PA (8.4%) - #56Zach NetoRHBProjected#1LAA@ATH·Gage Jump13.4%+646P(HR)ISO .221🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾7:40 PM MT · Sutter Health ParkISO.221Brl%12.7HH%37.2xwOBA.321HR/9 (P)1.20Park114Sutter Health Park mild park boost15d hot streak .835 OPSElite HR/FB 17% (vs 10% lg)Pulls 50% — favors HR sidePark boost (114)Elite barrel% (12.7)High barrels/PA (7.0%)
- #57Cody BellingerLHB✓ Confirmed#3NYYvsCHW·Sean Burke13.3%+652P(HR)ISO .207🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾5:05 PM MT · Yankee StadiumISO.207Brl%7.9HH%37.0xwOBA.375HR/9 (P)1.11Park117Park boost +17 for LHBCrushes 2 of SP's top 3 (SL, SI)Pulls 45% — favors HR sidePark boost (117)High barrels/PA (5.8%)
- #58David FryRHB✓ Confirmed#2CLE@MIL·Shane Drohan13.2%+655P(HR)🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾12:10 PM MT · American Family FieldISO—Brl%7.5HH%0.0xwOBA.000HR/9 (P)0.64Park108American Family Field mild park boostElite HR/FB 17% (vs 10% lg)Pulls 61% — favors HR sideHigh barrels/PA (6.2%)Pitcher suppresses HR (0.64 HR/9)
- #59Gabriel AriasRHB✓ Confirmed#6CLE@MIL·Shane Drohan13.2%+655P(HR)🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾12:10 PM MT · American Family FieldISO—Brl%7.5HH%0.0xwOBA.000HR/9 (P)0.64Park108American Family Field mild park boostElite HR/FB 38% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 46% > leagueHigh barrels/PA (6.2%)Pitcher suppresses HR (0.64 HR/9)
- #60Stuart FairchildRHB✓ Confirmed#7CLE@MIL·Shane Drohan13.2%+655P(HR)🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾12:10 PM MT · American Family FieldISO—Brl%7.5HH%0.0xwOBA.000HR/9 (P)0.64Park108American Family Field mild park boostCrushes 1 of SP's top 3 (FF)Hard% 40% > leagueHigh barrels/PA (6.2%)Pitcher suppresses HR (0.64 HR/9)
Projections for personal research. Compare to your sportsbook line — bet only when our % > their implied %.