🐾
Top Dawgs
Tonight's strongest HR plays — top hitter from each side of each matchup.· Includes projected lineups (auto-corrects when official posts)
- 1
Nick KurtzATH vs COL · Tomoyuki SuganoRHP🔒 DOUBLE LOCK+6.8pp vs #2💰 VALUEMED CONF🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾47.0%+113book +1000- ✓Elite 18.7% barrels
- ✓57% hard-hit
- ✓Max EV 116
- 2
Hunter GoodmanCOL @ ATH · Jeffrey SpringsLHP🔒 DOUBLE LOCK+-1.2pp vs #3💰 VALUEMED CONF🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾40.2%+149book +1000- ✓Las Vegas Ballpark mild park boost
- ✓Jeffrey Springs 1.92 HR/9
- ✓Elite 15.2% barrels
- 3
Luke RaleySEA @ WSH · Miles MikolasRHPS-TIER+4.6pp vs #4💰 VALUEMED CONF🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾41.4%+142book +290- ✓Nationals Park mild park boost
- ✓Miles Mikolas 2.07 HR/9
- ✓Elite 17.4% barrels
- 4
James WoodWSH vs SEA · Emerson HancockRHPEDGE+-4.5pp vs #5💰 VALUEMED CONF🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾36.8%+172book +290- ✓Nationals Park mild park boost
- ✓Elite 25.4% barrels
- ✓59% hard-hit
- 5
Shohei OhtaniLAD @ CHW · Erick FeddeRHPS-TIER+10.4pp vs #6💰 VALUEMED CONF🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾41.3%+142book +220- ✓Erick Fedde 2.00 HR/9
- ✓Elite 16.2% barrels
- ✓53% hard-hit
- 6
Colson MontgomeryCHW vs LAD · Emmet SheehanRHPEDGE+-7.4pp vs #7💰 VALUEMED CONF🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾30.9%+224book +305- ✓Elite 13.5% barrels
- ✓Max EV 114
- ✓Crushes 2 of SP's top 3 (CH, CU)
- 7
Junior CamineroTB @ LAA · Grayson RodriguezRHPEDGE+8.8pp vs #8MED CONF🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾38.3%+161- ✓Park boost +27 for RHB
- ✓49% hard-hit
- ✓Max EV 117
- 8
Mike TroutLAA vs TB · Casey LeguminaRHPEDGE+-2.4pp vs #9MED CONF🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾29.5%+239- ✓Park boost +27 for RHB
- ✓Elite 20.8% barrels
- ✓52% hard-hit
- 9
Juan SotoNYM vs ATL · Bryce ElderRHPEDGE+0.5pp vs #10MED CONF🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾31.9%+214book +2500- ✓Elite 16.7% barrels
- ✓50% hard-hit
- ✓Max EV 114
- 10
Matt OlsonATL @ NYM · Freddy PeraltaRHPS-TIER💰 VALUEMED CONF🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾31.3%+219book +305- ✓Elite 14.8% barrels
- ✓53% hard-hit
- ✓Crushes 2 of SP's top 3 (FF, SL)
💎
Hidden Gems16
Low-power bats the matchup just lit up — biggest HR lift over their own baseline (park · platoon · SP weakness · barrels).
- Alika Williams1.95× LIFTATH vs COL · Tomoyuki SuganoRHPSP yields HRsHard-contact leanPark +14%13.5%base 2.2%
Amed Rosario1.93× LIFT💰 VALUENYY @ TOR · Patrick CorbinLHPSP yields HRsBarrel/EV profilePark +17%16.6%base 2.4%book +475- Colt Emerson1.85× LIFTSEA @ WSH · Miles MikolasRHPSP yields HRspitcher_contactPark +11%15.3%base 2.4%book +4500
- Cole Young1.82× LIFTSEA @ WSH · Miles MikolasRHPSP yields HRspitcher_contactPark +11%11.8%base 2.0%book +525
- Braxton Fulford1.79× LIFTCOL @ ATH · Jeffrey SpringsLHPSP yields HRsPark +14%pitcher_contact15.4%base 2.6%book +400
- Edouard Julien1.58× LIFTCOL @ ATH · Jeffrey SpringsLHPSP yields HRsHard-contact leanpitcher_contact10.7%base 2.0%
- Drew Romo1.54× LIFT💰 VALUECHW vs LAD · Emmet SheehanRHPHard-contact leanSP yields HRspitcher_contact15.3%base 2.8%book +700
- Braden Montgomery1.53× LIFTCHW vs LAD · Emmet SheehanRHPHard-contact leanSP yields HRspitcher_contact12.5%base 2.3%book +425
Derek Hill1.47× LIFT💰 VALUEPHI @ MIL · Kyle HarrisonLHPHard-contact leanBarrel/EV profilepitcher_contact15.5%base 2.9%book +750
Jimmy Crooks1.45× LIFTSTL @ MIN · Taj BradleyRHPHard-contact leanPark +7%pitcher_contact13.6%base 2.5%book +6000- Daylen Lile1.45× LIFTWSH vs SEA · Emerson HancockRHPPark +11%pitcher_contactSP yields HRs11.2%base 2.1%book +7000
- Willi Castro1.43× LIFTCOL @ ATH · Jeffrey SpringsLHPSP yields HRsPark +14%pitcher_contact10.8%base 2.3%book +390
Wenceel Pérez1.42× LIFTDET @ CLE · Gavin WilliamsRHPPark +24%pitcher_contactSP hard-hit prone14.9%base 2.9%- Kevin McGonigle1.38× LIFTDET @ CLE · Gavin WilliamsRHPPark +24%pitcher_contactBarrel/EV profile14.0%base 2.6%book +8000
Gabriel Moreno1.37× LIFTVALUEARI @ CIN · Andrew AbbottLHPBarrel/EV profilePark +10%SP yields HRs13.7%base 2.6%book +525- TJ Rumfield1.31× LIFTCOL @ ATH · Jeffrey SpringsLHPSP yields HRspitcher_contactHot air carries11.9%base 2.6%book +4000
BDE
When
Live
Team
- #1Dominic CanzoneLHBProjected#4SEA@WSH·Miles MikolasRHP28.0%+258P(HR)ISO .282🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾11:35 AM MT · Nationals ParkISO.282Brl%17.1HH%48.8xwOBA.384HR/9 (P)2.07Park111Nationals Park mild park boostMiles Mikolas 2.07 HR/9Elite 17.1% barrels49% hard-hitMax EV 115Crushes 2 of SP's top 3 (FF, CU)15d hot streak 1.416 OPSElite HR/FB 20% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 45% > leagueMiles Mikolas allows 18% HR/FBPark boost (111)Elite barrel% (17.1)High barrels/PA (12.1%)Pitcher HR-prone (2.07 HR/9)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (10.6% brl)
- #2Shea LangeliersRHBProjected#5ATHvsCOL·Tomoyuki SuganoRHP27.7%+261P(HR)ISO .259🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾1:05 PM MT · Las Vegas BallparkISO.259Brl%14.9HH%44.2xwOBA.377HR/9 (P)1.59Park114Las Vegas Ballpark mild park boostElite 14.9% barrelsMax EV 114Crushes 2 of SP's top 3 (FF, SI)Elite HR/FB 17% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 41% > leagueTomoyuki Sugano allows 12% HR/FBPark boost (114)Elite barrel% (14.9)High barrels/PA (10.7%)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (15.5% brl)
- #3James WoodLHBProjected#1WSHvsSEA·Emerson HancockRHP26.1%+283P(HR)ISO .271🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾11:35 AM MT · Nationals ParkISO.271Brl%25.4HH%58.6xwOBA.434HR/9 (P)1.20Park111Nationals Park mild park boostElite 25.4% barrels59% hard-hitMax EV 116Crushes 4 of SP's top 3 (FF, SI, ST, FC)Elite HR/FB 26% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 51% > leaguePark boost (111)Elite barrel% (25.4)High barrels/PA (13.2%)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (10.6% brl)
- #4Luke RaleyLHBProjected#8SEA@WSH·Miles MikolasRHP25.6%+290P(HR)ISO .272🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾11:35 AM MT · Nationals ParkISO.272Brl%17.4HH%47.9xwOBA.361HR/9 (P)2.07Park111Nationals Park mild park boostMiles Mikolas 2.07 HR/9Elite 17.4% barrelsMax EV 114Crushes 1 of SP's top 3 (FF)Elite HR/FB 27% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 40% > leaguePulls 49% — favors HR sideMiles Mikolas allows 18% HR/FBPark boost (111)Elite barrel% (17.4)High barrels/PA (10.3%)Pitcher HR-prone (2.07 HR/9)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (10.6% brl)
- #5Junior CamineroRHBProjected#2TB@LAA·Grayson RodriguezRHP24.6%+307P(HR)ISO .213🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾2:07 PM MT · Angel StadiumISO.213Brl%12.3HH%48.5xwOBA.366HR/9 (P)1.56Park127Park boost +27 for RHB49% hard-hitMax EV 117Crushes 1 of SP's top 3 (FF)Elite HR/FB 21% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 42% > leaguePulls 45% — favors HR sideGrayson Rodriguez allows 14% HR/FBPark boost (127)Elite barrel% (12.3)High barrels/PA (8.6%)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (10.7% brl)
- #6Hunter GoodmanRHBProjected#5COL@ATH·Jeffrey SpringsLHP23.2%+332P(HR)ISO .268🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾1:05 PM MT · Las Vegas BallparkISO.268Brl%15.2HH%46.4xwOBA.322HR/9 (P)1.92Park114Las Vegas Ballpark mild park boostJeffrey Springs 1.92 HR/9Elite 15.2% barrels15d hot streak .873 OPSElite HR/FB 27% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 42% > leaguePulls 53% — favors HR sideJeffrey Springs allows 16% HR/FBPark boost (114)Elite barrel% (15.2)High barrels/PA (8.5%)Pitcher HR-prone (1.92 HR/9)
- #7Max MuncyLHBProjected#4LAD@CHW·Erick FeddeRHP22.7%+340P(HR)ISO .243🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾12:10 PM MT · Rate FieldISO.243Brl%16.6HH%47.7xwOBA.391HR/9 (P)2.00Park101Erick Fedde 2.00 HR/9Elite 16.6% barrelsCrushes 3 of SP's top 3 (SI, FC, CH)15d hot streak 1.068 OPSElite HR/FB 24% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 45% > leaguePulls 56% — favors HR sideErick Fedde allows 16% HR/FBElite barrel% (16.6)High barrels/PA (10.3%)Pitcher HR-prone (2.00 HR/9)
- #8Shohei OhtaniLHBProjected#1LAD@CHW·Erick FeddeRHP22.4%+347P(HR)ISO .238🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾12:10 PM MT · Rate FieldISO.238Brl%16.2HH%53.1xwOBA.418HR/9 (P)2.00Park101Erick Fedde 2.00 HR/9Elite 16.2% barrels53% hard-hitMax EV 115Crushes 3 of SP's top 3 (SI, FC, CH)15d hot streak 1.263 OPSElite HR/FB 19% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 50% > leaguePulls 53% — favors HR sideErick Fedde allows 16% HR/FBElite barrel% (16.2)High barrels/PA (9.7%)Pitcher HR-prone (2.00 HR/9)
- #9Riley GreeneLHBProjected#8DET@
CLE·Gavin WilliamsRHP22.3%+348P(HR)ISO .158🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾11:40 AM MT · Progressive FieldISO.158Brl%13.4HH%50.6xwOBA.361HR/9 (P)1.36Park124Park boost +24 for LHBElite 13.4% barrels51% hard-hitCrushes 3 of SP's top 3 (ST, CU, SI)Elite HR/FB 12% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 40% > leagueGavin Williams allows 17% HR/FBPark boost (124)Elite barrel% (13.4)High barrels/PA (7.8%)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (12.5% brl) - #10
Sal StewartRHBProjected#3CINvsARI·Zac GallenRHP21.8%+359P(HR)ISO .203🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾11:40 AM MT · Great American Ball ParkISO.203Brl%14.2HH%40.6xwOBA.360HR/9 (P)1.43Park110Great American Ball Park mild park boostElite 14.2% barrelsCrushes 1 of SP's top 3 (CH)Elite HR/FB 18% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 42% > leagueZac Gallen allows 13% HR/FBPark boost (110)Elite barrel% (14.2)High barrels/PA (9.4%) - #11
Corey SeagerLHBProjected#3TEX@
BOS·Connelly EarlyLHP21.6%+363P(HR)ISO .187🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾5:20 PM MT · Fenway ParkISO.187Brl%15.2HH%44.8xwOBA.336HR/9 (P)1.52Park102Elite 15.2% barrelsCrushes 1 of SP's top 3 (CH)Elite HR/FB 18% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 41% > leaguePulls 49% — favors HR sideConnelly Early allows 15% HR/FBElite barrel% (15.2)High barrels/PA (9.3%)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (11.6% brl) - #12
Byron BuxtonRHBProjected#1MINvsSTL·Michael McGreevyRHP21.5%+365P(HR)ISO .319🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾12:10 PM MT · Target FieldISO.319Brl%19.0HH%47.7xwOBA.345HR/9 (P)1.25Park94Elite 19.0% barrelsCrushes 1 of SP's top 3 (SI)15d hot streak 1.156 OPSElite HR/FB 21% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 38% > leaguePulls 51% — favors HR sideMichael McGreevy allows 13% HR/FBElite barrel% (19.0)High barrels/PA (12.5%)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (10.0% brl) - #13Nick KurtzLHBProjected#3ATHvsCOL·Tomoyuki SuganoRHP21.0%+376P(HR)ISO .253🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾1:05 PM MT · Las Vegas BallparkISO.253Brl%18.7HH%57.4xwOBA.398HR/9 (P)1.59Park95Elite 18.7% barrels57% hard-hitMax EV 116Crushes 2 of SP's top 3 (FF, ST)15d hot streak 1.267 OPSElite HR/FB 26% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 47% > leagueTomoyuki Sugano allows 12% HR/FBElite barrel% (18.7)High barrels/PA (9.3%)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (15.5% brl)
- #14Yandy DíazRHBProjected#5TB@LAA·Grayson RodriguezRHP21.0%+376P(HR)ISO .202🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾2:07 PM MT · Angel StadiumISO.202Brl%8.5HH%45.9xwOBA.373HR/9 (P)1.56Park127Park boost +27 for RHBMax EV 114Crushes 1 of SP's top 3 (SL)15d hot streak .970 OPSElite HR/FB 17% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 39% > leagueGrayson Rodriguez allows 14% HR/FBPark boost (127)High barrels/PA (6.5%)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (10.7% brl)
- #15Wilyer AbreuLHBProjected#3BOSvsTEX·Nathan EovaldiRHP20.8%+380P(HR)ISO .160🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾5:20 PM MT · Fenway ParkISO.160Brl%11.7HH%42.9xwOBA.344HR/9 (P)1.69Park102Max EV 113Crushes 1 of SP's top 3 (FC)Hard% 38% > leagueNathan Eovaldi allows 19% HR/FBHigh barrels/PA (8.4%)Pitcher HR-prone (1.69 HR/9)
- #16Spencer SteerRHBProjected#4CINvsARI·Zac GallenRHP20.6%+384P(HR)ISO .181🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾11:40 AM MT · Great American Ball ParkISO.181Brl%12.8HH%38.5xwOBA.364HR/9 (P)1.43Park110Great American Ball Park mild park boostCrushes 1 of SP's top 3 (CU)Elite HR/FB 13% (vs 10% lg)Pulls 49% — favors HR sideZac Gallen allows 13% HR/FBPark boost (110)Elite barrel% (12.8)High barrels/PA (8.7%)
- #17Freddie FreemanLHBProjected#3LAD@CHW·Erick FeddeRHP20.5%+388P(HR)ISO .193🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾12:10 PM MT · Rate FieldISO.193Brl%11.6HH%45.9xwOBA.378HR/9 (P)2.00Park101Erick Fedde 2.00 HR/9Crushes 1 of SP's top 3 (FC)Elite HR/FB 14% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 43% > leagueErick Fedde allows 16% HR/FBHigh barrels/PA (8.2%)Pitcher HR-prone (2.00 HR/9)
- #18Alec BurlesonLHBProjected#3STL@MIN·Taj BradleyRHP20.4%+391P(HR)ISO .204🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾12:10 PM MT · Target FieldISO.204Brl%11.6HH%48.1xwOBA.391HR/9 (P)1.25Park107Target Field mild park boost48% hard-hitCrushes 3 of SP's top 3 (FF, FC, CU)15d hot streak 1.075 OPSElite HR/FB 14% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 38% > leaguePulls 49% — favors HR sideHigh barrels/PA (8.7%)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (10.6% brl)
- #19Colt EmersonLHBProjected#9SEA@WSH·Miles MikolasRHP20.2%+394P(HR)🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾11:35 AM MT · Nationals ParkISO—Brl%7.5HH%0.0xwOBA.000HR/9 (P)2.07Park111Nationals Park mild park boostMiles Mikolas 2.07 HR/9Elite HR/FB 19% (vs 10% lg)Miles Mikolas allows 18% HR/FBPark boost (111)High barrels/PA (6.2%)Pitcher HR-prone (2.07 HR/9)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (10.6% brl)
- #20Miles MastrobuoniLHBProjectedSEA@WSH·Miles MikolasRHP20.2%+394P(HR)🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾11:35 AM MT · Nationals ParkISO—Brl%7.5HH%0.0xwOBA.000HR/9 (P)2.07Park111Nationals Park mild park boostMiles Mikolas 2.07 HR/9Miles Mikolas allows 18% HR/FBPark boost (111)High barrels/PA (6.2%)Pitcher HR-prone (2.07 HR/9)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (10.6% brl)
- #21Kody ClemensLHBProjected#8MINvsSTL·Michael McGreevyRHP20.2%+395P(HR)ISO .241🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾12:10 PM MT · Target FieldISO.241Brl%13.8HH%44.1xwOBA.337HR/9 (P)1.25Park107Target Field mild park boostElite 13.8% barrelsCrushes 1 of SP's top 3 (SI)15d hot streak 1.006 OPSElite HR/FB 14% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 40% > leagueMichael McGreevy allows 13% HR/FBElite barrel% (13.8)High barrels/PA (9.5%)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (10.0% brl)
- #22Miguel VargasRHBProjected#2CHWvsLAD·Emmet SheehanRHP20.2%+395P(HR)ISO .251🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾12:10 PM MT · Rate FieldISO.251Brl%14.3HH%45.4xwOBA.400HR/9 (P)1.68Park92Elite 14.3% barrelsCrushes 2 of SP's top 3 (FF, CH)Elite HR/FB 16% (vs 10% lg)Emmet Sheehan allows 15% HR/FBPark drag (92)Elite barrel% (14.3)High barrels/PA (9.5%)Pitcher HR-prone (1.68 HR/9)
- #23Alika WilliamsRHBProjectedATHvsCOL·Tomoyuki SuganoRHP20.1%+396P(HR)🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾1:05 PM MT · Las Vegas BallparkISO—Brl%7.5HH%0.0xwOBA.000HR/9 (P)1.59Park114Las Vegas Ballpark mild park boostTomoyuki Sugano allows 12% HR/FBPark boost (114)High barrels/PA (6.2%)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (15.5% brl)
- #24Brandon NimmoLHBProjected#2TEX@BOS·Connelly EarlyLHP20.0%+400P(HR)ISO .147🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾5:20 PM MT · Fenway ParkISO.147Brl%11.0HH%52.0xwOBA.372HR/9 (P)1.52Park10252% hard-hitCrushes 1 of SP's top 3 (SI)Hard% 45% > leagueConnelly Early allows 15% HR/FBHigh barrels/PA (7.6%)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (11.6% brl)
- #25Braxton FulfordRHBProjected#7COL@ATH·Jeffrey SpringsLHP19.8%+405P(HR)🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾1:05 PM MT · Las Vegas BallparkISO—Brl%7.5HH%0.0xwOBA.000HR/9 (P)1.92Park114Las Vegas Ballpark mild park boostJeffrey Springs 1.92 HR/9Jeffrey Springs allows 16% HR/FBPark boost (114)High barrels/PA (6.2%)Pitcher HR-prone (1.92 HR/9)
- #26Kevin McGonigleLHBProjected#1DET@CLE·Gavin WilliamsRHP19.7%+409P(HR)ISO .131🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾11:40 AM MT · Progressive FieldISO.131Brl%8.5HH%37.1xwOBA.366HR/9 (P)1.36Park124Park boost +24 for LHBCrushes 2 of SP's top 3 (FF, SI)Gavin Williams allows 17% HR/FBPark boost (124)High barrels/PA (6.1%)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (12.5% brl)
- #27Zack GelofRHBProjected#6ATHvsCOL·Tomoyuki SuganoRHP19.6%+410P(HR)ISO .192🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾1:05 PM MT · Las Vegas BallparkISO.192Brl%8.5HH%40.3xwOBA.287HR/9 (P)1.59Park114Las Vegas Ballpark mild park boost15d hot streak .921 OPSElite HR/FB 16% (vs 10% lg)Tomoyuki Sugano allows 12% HR/FBPark boost (114)High barrels/PA (5.8%)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (15.5% brl)
- #28Wenceel PérezSHBProjectedDET@CLE·Gavin WilliamsRHP19.4%+415P(HR)ISO .173🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾11:40 AM MT · Progressive FieldISO.173Brl%7.8HH%34.4xwOBA.275HR/9 (P)1.36Park124Park boost +24 for SHBCrushes 1 of SP's top 3 (SI)15d hot streak .943 OPSGavin Williams allows 17% HR/FBPark boost (124)High barrels/PA (5.9%)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (12.5% brl)
- #29Colson MontgomeryLHBProjected#5CHWvsLAD·Emmet SheehanRHP19.1%+424P(HR)ISO .250🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾12:10 PM MT · Rate FieldISO.250Brl%13.5HH%45.5xwOBA.322HR/9 (P)1.68Park101Elite 13.5% barrelsMax EV 114Crushes 2 of SP's top 3 (CH, CU)Elite HR/FB 22% (vs 10% lg)Pulls 54% — favors HR sideEmmet Sheehan allows 15% HR/FBElite barrel% (13.5)High barrels/PA (7.6%)Pitcher HR-prone (1.68 HR/9)
- #30Tyler SoderstromLHBProjected#4ATHvsCOL·Tomoyuki SuganoRHP18.9%+429P(HR)ISO .222🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾1:05 PM MT · Las Vegas BallparkISO.222Brl%10.9HH%45.1xwOBA.334HR/9 (P)1.59Park95Max EV 11315d hot streak 1.243 OPSElite HR/FB 14% (vs 10% lg)Tomoyuki Sugano allows 12% HR/FBHigh barrels/PA (7.5%)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (15.5% brl)
- #31Ezequiel TovarRHBProjected#8COL@ATH·Jeffrey SpringsLHP18.9%+430P(HR)ISO .121🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾1:05 PM MT · Las Vegas BallparkISO.121Brl%8.5HH%36.4xwOBA.299HR/9 (P)1.92Park114Las Vegas Ballpark mild park boostJeffrey Springs 1.92 HR/9Jeffrey Springs allows 16% HR/FBPark boost (114)High barrels/PA (5.6%)Pitcher HR-prone (1.92 HR/9)
- #32Mike TroutRHBProjected#2LAAvsTB·Casey LeguminaRHP18.7%+436P(HR)ISO .226🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾2:07 PM MT · Angel StadiumISO.226Brl%20.8HH%51.8xwOBA.415HR/9 (P)0.62Park127Park boost +27 for RHBElite 20.8% barrels52% hard-hitMax EV 115Crushes 3 of SP's top 3 (FF, SI, ST)Elite HR/FB 18% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 46% > leaguePark boost (127)Elite barrel% (20.8)High barrels/PA (11.2%)
- #33Andrew BenintendiLHBProjected#3CHWvsLAD·Emmet SheehanRHP18.6%+437P(HR)ISO .173🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾12:10 PM MT · Rate FieldISO.173Brl%11.5HH%48.2xwOBA.328HR/9 (P)1.68Park10148% hard-hit15d hot streak .920 OPSHard% 40% > leaguePulls 55% — favors HR sideEmmet Sheehan allows 15% HR/FBHigh barrels/PA (7.3%)Pitcher HR-prone (1.68 HR/9)
- #34Jarren DuranLHBProjected#1BOSvsTEX·Nathan EovaldiRHP18.5%+440P(HR)ISO .170🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾5:20 PM MT · Fenway ParkISO.170Brl%11.0HH%39.9xwOBA.293HR/9 (P)1.69Park102Max EV 115Elite HR/FB 15% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 39% > leagueNathan Eovaldi allows 19% HR/FBHigh barrels/PA (6.9%)Pitcher HR-prone (1.69 HR/9)
- #35CJ AbramsLHBProjected#5WSHvsSEA·Emerson HancockRHP18.4%+442P(HR)ISO .236🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾11:35 AM MT · Nationals ParkISO.236Brl%10.9HH%42.0xwOBA.358HR/9 (P)1.20Park111Nationals Park mild park boostCrushes 2 of SP's top 3 (FF, SI)Elite HR/FB 17% (vs 10% lg)Park boost (111)High barrels/PA (7.2%)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (10.6% brl)
- #36Carlos CortesLHBProjected#1ATHvsCOL·Tomoyuki SuganoRHP18.2%+451P(HR)ISO .183🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾1:05 PM MT · Las Vegas BallparkISO.183Brl%9.1HH%40.8xwOBA.379HR/9 (P)1.59Park95Crushes 2 of SP's top 3 (FF, FS)Elite HR/FB 13% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 40% > leagueTomoyuki Sugano allows 12% HR/FBHigh barrels/PA (7.1%)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (15.5% brl)
- #37Jordan WalkerRHBProjected#5STL@MIN·Taj BradleyRHP18.0%+455P(HR)ISO .258🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾12:10 PM MT · Target FieldISO.258Brl%13.2HH%51.3xwOBA.370HR/9 (P)1.25Park94Elite 13.2% barrels51% hard-hitMax EV 116Crushes 2 of SP's top 3 (FF, FC)Elite HR/FB 23% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 46% > leagueElite barrel% (13.2)High barrels/PA (8.8%)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (10.6% brl)
- #38Joc PedersonLHBProjected#6TEX@BOS·Connelly EarlyLHP18.0%+455P(HR)ISO .202🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾5:20 PM MT · Fenway ParkISO.202Brl%9.6HH%47.4xwOBA.350HR/9 (P)1.52Park102Crushes 2 of SP's top 3 (FF, SI)Elite HR/FB 16% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 42% > leagueConnelly Early allows 15% HR/FBHigh barrels/PA (6.3%)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (11.6% brl)
- #39Willson ContrerasRHBProjected#5BOSvsTEX·Nathan EovaldiRHP17.9%+458P(HR)ISO .244🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾5:20 PM MT · Fenway ParkISO.244Brl%14.6HH%44.5xwOBA.390HR/9 (P)1.69Park85Elite 14.6% barrelsMax EV 11315d hot streak 1.101 OPSElite HR/FB 20% (vs 10% lg)Pulls 55% — favors HR sideNathan Eovaldi allows 19% HR/FBPark drag (85)Elite barrel% (14.6)High barrels/PA (8.9%)Pitcher HR-prone (1.69 HR/9)
- #40JJ BledayLHBProjected#2CINvsARI·Zac GallenRHP17.8%+462P(HR)ISO .296🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾11:40 AM MT · Great American Ball ParkISO.296Brl%12.4HH%47.9xwOBA.391HR/9 (P)1.43Park98Crushes 2 of SP's top 3 (FF, CU)Elite HR/FB 20% (vs 10% lg)Pulls 52% — favors HR sideZac Gallen allows 13% HR/FBElite barrel% (12.4)High barrels/PA (8.5%)
- #41Tyler StephensonRHBProjected#7CINvsARI·Zac GallenRHP17.8%+463P(HR)ISO .131🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾11:40 AM MT · Great American Ball ParkISO.131Brl%10.9HH%43.7xwOBA.326HR/9 (P)1.43Park110Great American Ball Park mild park boostHard% 39% > leagueZac Gallen allows 13% HR/FBPark boost (110)High barrels/PA (6.7%)
- #42Nathaniel LoweLHBProjected#5CINvsARI·Zac GallenRHP17.6%+470P(HR)ISO .245🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾11:40 AM MT · Great American Ball ParkISO.245Brl%13.0HH%42.6xwOBA.376HR/9 (P)1.43Park98Elite 13.0% barrelsCrushes 1 of SP's top 3 (CU)Elite HR/FB 24% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 38% > leagueZac Gallen allows 13% HR/FBElite barrel% (13.0)High barrels/PA (8.4%)
- #43Andy PagesRHBProjected#2LAD@CHW·Erick FeddeRHP17.4%+473P(HR)ISO .233🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾12:10 PM MT · Rate FieldISO.233Brl%9.8HH%47.2xwOBA.347HR/9 (P)2.00Park92Erick Fedde 2.00 HR/9Crushes 3 of SP's top 3 (ST, SI, FC)Elite HR/FB 17% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 38% > leagueErick Fedde allows 16% HR/FBPark drag (92)High barrels/PA (7.2%)Pitcher HR-prone (2.00 HR/9)
- #44
Jackson MerrillLHBProjected#3SD@
BAL·Trevor RogersLHP17.3%+477P(HR)ISO .130🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾11:35 AM MT · Oriole Park at Camden YardsISO.130Brl%10.4HH%46.4xwOBA.316HR/9 (P)1.35Park136Park boost +36 for LHBCrushes 1 of SP's top 3 (SI)Park boost (136)High barrels/PA (7.0%) - #45Josh BellSHBProjected#5MINvsSTL·Michael McGreevyRHP17.3%+478P(HR)ISO .136🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾12:10 PM MT · Target FieldISO.136Brl%10.2HH%41.4xwOBA.303HR/9 (P)1.25Park107Target Field mild park boost15d hot streak .804 OPSPulls 46% — favors HR sideMichael McGreevy allows 13% HR/FBHigh barrels/PA (7.0%)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (10.0% brl)
- #46Ben RiceLHBProjected#2NYY@
TOR·Patrick CorbinLHP17.3%+479P(HR)ISO .318🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾11:37 AM MT · Rogers CentreISO.318Brl%15.3HH%48.8xwOBA.390HR/9 (P)1.10Park106Rogers Centre mild park boostElite 15.3% barrels49% hard-hitCrushes 1 of SP's top 3 (CH)Elite HR/FB 29% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 41% > leaguePulls 49% — favors HR sideElite barrel% (15.3)High barrels/PA (9.6%) - #47Braden MontgomerySHBProjected#4CHWvsLAD·Emmet SheehanRHP17.2%+480P(HR)🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾12:10 PM MT · Rate FieldISO—Brl%7.5HH%0.0xwOBA.000HR/9 (P)1.68Park101Emmet Sheehan allows 15% HR/FBHigh barrels/PA (6.2%)Pitcher HR-prone (1.68 HR/9)
- #48Drew RomoSHBProjected#9CHWvsLAD·Emmet SheehanRHP17.2%+480P(HR)🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾12:10 PM MT · Rate FieldISO—Brl%7.5HH%0.0xwOBA.000HR/9 (P)1.68Park101Elite HR/FB 21% (vs 10% lg)Pulls 54% — favors HR sideEmmet Sheehan allows 15% HR/FBHigh barrels/PA (6.2%)Pitcher HR-prone (1.68 HR/9)
- #49Matt McLainRHBProjected#6CINvsARI·Zac GallenRHP17.2%+482P(HR)ISO .157🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾11:40 AM MT · Great American Ball ParkISO.157Brl%9.8HH%38.7xwOBA.330HR/9 (P)1.43Park110Great American Ball Park mild park boost15d hot streak .940 OPSZac Gallen allows 13% HR/FBPark boost (110)High barrels/PA (6.2%)
- #50Luis García Jr.LHBProjected#2WSHvsSEA·Emerson HancockRHP17.2%+483P(HR)ISO .199🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾11:35 AM MT · Nationals ParkISO.199Brl%7.8HH%48.0xwOBA.333HR/9 (P)1.20Park111Nationals Park mild park boost48% hard-hitCrushes 1 of SP's top 3 (FF)15d hot streak .987 OPSElite HR/FB 14% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 40% > leaguePark boost (111)High barrels/PA (6.3%)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (10.6% brl)
- #51Blake DunnRHBProjected#1CINvsARI·Zac GallenRHP17.2%+483P(HR)🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾11:40 AM MT · Great American Ball ParkISO—Brl%7.5HH%0.0xwOBA.000HR/9 (P)1.43Park110Great American Ball Park mild park boostZac Gallen allows 13% HR/FBPark boost (110)High barrels/PA (6.2%)
- #52Dane MyersRHBProjectedCINvsARI·Zac GallenRHP17.2%+483P(HR)🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾11:40 AM MT · Great American Ball ParkISO—Brl%7.5HH%0.0xwOBA.000HR/9 (P)1.43Park110Great American Ball Park mild park boostCrushes 1 of SP's top 3 (CH)Zac Gallen allows 13% HR/FBPark boost (110)High barrels/PA (6.2%)
- #53Colt KeithLHBProjected#4DET@CLE·Gavin WilliamsRHP17.2%+483P(HR)ISO .079🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾11:40 AM MT · Progressive FieldISO.079Brl%6.0HH%40.9xwOBA.303HR/9 (P)1.36Park124Park boost +24 for LHBCrushes 1 of SP's top 3 (CU)Gavin Williams allows 17% HR/FBPark boost (124)High barrels/PA (4.4%)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (12.5% brl)
- #54Nathan ChurchLHBProjected#9STL@MIN·Taj BradleyRHP17.0%+487P(HR)ISO .144🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾12:10 PM MT · Target FieldISO.144Brl%8.9HH%32.3xwOBA.283HR/9 (P)1.25Park107Target Field mild park boostCrushes 1 of SP's top 3 (FC)Elite HR/FB 12% (vs 10% lg)High barrels/PA (6.5%)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (10.6% brl)
- #55Nasim NuñezSHBProjected#9WSHvsSEA·Emerson HancockRHP17.0%+489P(HR)ISO .026🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾11:35 AM MT · Nationals ParkISO.026Brl%7.5HH%20.0xwOBA.267HR/9 (P)1.20Park111Nationals Park mild park boostCrushes 1 of SP's top 3 (FC)Park boost (111)High barrels/PA (6.2%)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (10.6% brl)
- #56Dillon DinglerRHBProjected#3DET@CLE·Gavin WilliamsRHP16.9%+491P(HR)ISO .267🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾11:40 AM MT · Progressive FieldISO.267Brl%13.3HH%51.1xwOBA.398HR/9 (P)1.36Park70Elite 13.3% barrels51% hard-hitCrushes 3 of SP's top 3 (ST, FF, SI)15d hot streak 1.110 OPSElite HR/FB 20% (vs 10% lg)Hard% 42% > leagueGavin Williams allows 17% HR/FBPark drag (70)Elite barrel% (13.3)High barrels/PA (9.2%)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (12.5% brl)
- #57Bryan TorresLHBProjectedSTL@MIN·Taj BradleyRHP16.7%+499P(HR)🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾12:10 PM MT · Target FieldISO—Brl%7.5HH%0.0xwOBA.000HR/9 (P)1.25Park107Target Field mild park boostCrushes 1 of SP's top 3 (FF)Elite HR/FB 20% (vs 10% lg)High barrels/PA (6.2%)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (10.6% brl)
- #58Jimmy CrooksLHBProjected#6STL@MIN·Taj BradleyRHP16.7%+499P(HR)🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾12:10 PM MT · Target FieldISO—Brl%7.5HH%0.0xwOBA.000HR/9 (P)1.25Park107Target Field mild park boostCrushes 1 of SP's top 3 (FF)Elite HR/FB 17% (vs 10% lg)High barrels/PA (6.2%)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (10.6% brl)
- #59Josh NaylorLHBProjected#3SEA@WSH·Miles MikolasRHP16.6%+502P(HR)ISO .118🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾11:35 AM MT · Nationals ParkISO.118Brl%5.3HH%38.1xwOBA.327HR/9 (P)2.07Park111Nationals Park mild park boostMiles Mikolas 2.07 HR/9Pulls 48% — favors HR sideMiles Mikolas allows 18% HR/FBPark boost (111)High barrels/PA (4.2%)Pitcher HR-prone (2.07 HR/9)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (10.6% brl)
- #60Daylen LileLHBProjected#8WSHvsSEA·Emerson HancockRHP16.6%+504P(HR)ISO .157🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾11:35 AM MT · Nationals ParkISO.157Brl%8.0HH%37.1xwOBA.330HR/9 (P)1.20Park111Nationals Park mild park boostCrushes 1 of SP's top 3 (SI)Park boost (111)High barrels/PA (5.9%)Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (10.6% brl)
Projections for personal research. Compare to your sportsbook line — bet only when our % > their implied %.