Big Dawg Bets — MLB HR Board

Home Run

14.9%

+571

🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾

Big Dawg Energy

vs Kyle Bradish (RHP) (1.35 HR/9) · park 92

2+ RBI

12.2%

+720

RBI 1+

35.4%

+182

Hits 1+

63.7%

-175

Hits 2+

21.5%

+365

Why this pick

4.0 🐾

STRONG PLAY

T-Mobile Park suppresses HRs (92)
Park drag (92)
High barrels/PA (6.2%)
Pitcher high contact-quality allowed (10.5% brl)

Tip: cross-reference the matchup math with your sportsbook line — only fire when your model edge clears the juice.

Ballpark — Tonight's Venue

vs LHB

108

🐾vs RHB

vs SHB

100

T-Mobile Park. 100 = league average; higher = HR-friendlier. 🐾 Highlighted side matches Jr..

Season Statcast

Barrel %

7.5

xBA

.250

Brl / PA %

6.18

Tonight's Pitch Matchup

Kyle Bradish · top 3 pitches tonight

🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾

Unknown

SISinker
Use%
32
xwOBA
—
Whiff%
—
HH%
—
BRL%
—
Pull%
—
SLSlider
Use%
27
xwOBA
—
Whiff%
—
HH%
—
BRL%
—
Pull%
—
CUCurveball
Use%
22
xwOBA
—
Whiff%
—
HH%
—
BRL%
—
Pull%
—

Kyle Bradish (RHP) arsenal (Top 3)

Pitch	Use%	BRL%-A	HH%-A	Pull%	xwOBA	Put%
SISinker⚡ PUT-AWAY	32.1	10.4	36.1	55	.302	21.7
SLSlider	26.9	10.3	33.3	76	.339	18.9
CUCurveball	22.0	13.2	45.9	76	.261	21.3
FF4-Seam Fastball	18.9	5.6	36.0	48	.400	16.7

Platoon detail · vs LHB / vs RHB

SISinker⚡ PUT-AWAY32% use

Split	BRL%-A	HH%-A	Pull%	xwOBA	Put%	PA
vs LHB	9.1	40.9	57	.305	22.9	74
vs RHB	12.1	30.3	52	.298	19.0	45

SLSlider27% use

Split	BRL%-A	HH%-A	Pull%	xwOBA	Put%	PA
vs LHB	7.1	35.7	89	.299	22.4	52
vs RHB🐾 EXPLOIT	13.3	30.0	63	.380	16.4	44

CUCurveball22% use

Split	BRL%-A	HH%-A	Pull%	xwOBA	Put%	PA
vs LHB	10.7	42.9	82	.245	21.0	42
vs RHB⚡ PUT-AWAY🐾 EXPLOIT	20.0	50.0	60	.297	19.4	19

FF4-Seam Fastball19% use

Split	BRL%-A	HH%-A	Pull%	xwOBA	Put%	PA
vs LHB⚡ PUT-AWAY	4.4	31.1	49	.377	23.8	56
vs RHB🐾 EXPLOIT	11.1	77.8	44	.514	0.0	13

🐾 Jade-ringed cells = top 4 HR-vulnerability flags (above-league BRL%-A, HH%-A, Pull%, xwOBA on this pitch). The pitches getting hammered. ⚡ PUT-AWAY = his go-to out-pitch (highest 2-strike K rate · 21.7% put-away); a 🐾 EXPLOIT tag means even that pitch is getting hit hard. Platoon detail below breaks each pitch into vs-LHB / vs-RHB — the jade-tagged side is the one hitting it hardest (the exploit), and the ⚡ PUT-AWAY tag marks his top out-pitch separately vs each hand.

Strike Zone Heatmap

🐾 Tap a pitch chip to slice by tonight's SP arsenal

Tonight's SP throws (top 3)

SI 32%
SL 27%
CU 22%

Heatmap below = batter's season-wide damage on all pitches. Per-pitch slices populate on the next pipeline refresh.

Hover / tap a cell to inspect.

Catcher's view. Inside square = strike zone (3×3). Outer corners = chase zones. Color = xwOBA on contact — jade = HR damage, red = cold.

Splits — Today's Matchup

No splits returned yet for this player this season.

🐾 = the split that matches tonight. vs RHP · Home · Night · Wed.