Big Dawg Bets — MLB HR Board

Pitcher Strikeouts

11.1%

+799

🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾

Big Dawg Energy

Projected 3.1 K over 5.4 IP

Over 5.5 K

11.1%

+799

Over 6.5 K

4.3%

+2241

Over 7.5 K

1.3%

+7470

Over 8.5 K

0.3%

+30536

Season Pitching

ERA

2.43

WHIP

1.16

K/9

5.1

Expected IP

5.4

Fangraphs Projection (Rest of Season)

2026-06-14 · THE BAT

Proj IP

ERA

4.87

FIP

4.81

HR/9

1.43

14.7

BB%

6.0

2026 Contact Allowed

🐾 Tonight: Away2026-06-14 · FG

Season

HR/FB

5.8

Hard%

29.0

FB%

40.6

Pull%

44.4

Soft%

15.8

GB%

35.9

vs LHB

HR/FB

4.8

Hard%

23.6

FB%

42.2

Pull%

44.6

Soft%

12.2

GB%

38.8

vs RHB

HR/FB

7.1

Hard%

36.0

FB%

38.5

Pull%

44.1

Soft%

20.7

GB%

32.1

Home

HR/FB

4.6

Hard%

35.3

FB%

47.4

Pull%

41.7

Soft%

15.1

GB%

27.0

🐾Away

HR/FB

7.7

Hard%

21.7

FB%

32.8

Pull%

47.5

Soft%

16.7

GB%

46.2

🐾 = split that matches tonight (Away). Jade = SP suppresses contact (low Hard / FB / HR-FB allowed). Red = HR-prone tendency.

Contact Quality Allowed

HR/9

0.70

Barrel % Allowed

6.6

Hard-Hit % Allowed

31.7

Avg EV Allowed

86.8

Ballpark — Tonight's Venue

vs LHB (HR factor)

120

vs RHB (HR factor)

119

vs SHB (HR factor)

119

UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium. 100 = league average; higher = HR-friendlier for that batter side.

Opposing Lineup — HR Threat

🐾 Tonight vs LADProjected lineupTotal threat: 117%

Red = top HR threats (≥ 12% projected). The bigger the bat you can't avoid, the higher the SP's HR-allowed risk.

Pitch Arsenal (Top 3)

Pitch	Use%	BRL%-A	HH%-A	Pull%	xwOBA	Put%
SISinker⚡ PUT-AWAY	31.4	6.5	40.7	59	.337	21.9
CHChangeup	28.0	1.4	15.0	61	.204	19.6
FCCutter	19.5	8.1	25.4	61	.364	19.0
FF4-Seam Fastball	10.5	10.8	57.1	60	.440	9.1

Platoon detail · vs LHB / vs RHB

SISinker⚡ PUT-AWAY31% use

Split	BRL%-A	HH%-A	Pull%	xwOBA	Put%	PA
vs LHB⚡ PUT-AWAY	9.1	63.6	52	.299	25.0	47
vs RHB🐾 EXPLOIT	5.0	31.7	63	.366	15.8	68

CHChangeup28% use

Split	BRL%-A	HH%-A	Pull%	xwOBA	Put%	PA
vs LHB🐾 EXPLOIT	1.8	19.6	61	.221	18.8	72
vs RHB⚡ PUT-AWAY	0.0	6.2	63	.157	16.4	27

FCCutter20% use

Split	BRL%-A	HH%-A	Pull%	xwOBA	Put%	PA
vs LHB	6.7	22.2	67	.340	20.0	50
vs RHB🐾 EXPLOIT	10.3	37.9	52	.402	12.5	31

FF4-Seam Fastball11% use

Split	BRL%-A	HH%-A	Pull%	xwOBA	Put%	PA
vs LHB	13.0	52.2	74	.410	12.5	27
vs RHB🐾 EXPLOIT	7.1	50.0	36	.504	4.2	17

🐾 Jade-ringed cells = top 4 HR-vulnerability flags (above-league BRL%-A, HH%-A, Pull%, xwOBA on this pitch). The pitches getting hammered. ⚡ PUT-AWAY = his go-to out-pitch (highest 2-strike K rate · 21.9% put-away); a 🐾 EXPLOIT tag means even that pitch is getting hit hard. Platoon detail below breaks each pitch into vs-LHB / vs-RHB — the jade-tagged side is the one hitting it hardest (the exploit), and the ⚡ PUT-AWAY tag marks his top out-pitch separately vs each hand.

HR Profile — where he gets beat

vs LHB

4HR in 207 PA · 1.9%

Most off Cutter

33 PA since last HR allowed

Cutter 24-Seamer 1Sinker 1

vs RHB🐾 exploit

6HR in 158 PA · 3.8%

Most off Cutter

12 PA since last HR allowed

Cutter 2Sinker 24-Seamer 1Slider 1

HR Allowed by Opposing Lineup Spot

⚠ Gets punished most by spot #1 — 8 of 22 HRs allowed (36%).

🐾

Vulnerable to:#1#3

Inferred from first-inning batting order, 2024–2025 cached Statcast.