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Luis CastilloRHP
SEA · SP
🐾 Tonight2:05 PM MT · Nationals Park
Pitcher Strikeouts
40.1%
+149
🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾
Big Dawg Energy
Projected 5.0 K over 5 IP
Over 5.5 K
40.1%
+149
Over 6.5 K
22.7%
+341
Over 7.5 K
10.6%
+847
Over 8.5 K
4.0%
+2396
Season Pitching
ERA
5.16
WHIP
1.36
K/9
9.0
Expected IP
5.0
Fangraphs Projection (Rest of Season)
2026-06-12 · THE BAT
Proj IP
75
ERA
4.37
FIP
4.22
HR/9
1.35
K%
22.6
BB%
7.5
2026 Contact Allowed
🐾 Tonight: Away2026-06-12 · FG
Season
HR/FB
10.7
Hard%
35.7
FB%
41.9
Pull%
42.3
Soft%
12.1
GB%
36.9
vs LHB
HR/FB
11.8
Hard%
41.6
FB%
51.0
Pull%
41.6
Soft%
8.9
GB%
30.0
vs RHB
HR/FB
8.3
Hard%
28.4
FB%
30.4
Pull%
43.2
Soft%
16.0
GB%
45.6
Home
HR/FB
6.5
Hard%
27.8
FB%
40.3
Pull%
41.8
Soft%
15.2
GB%
37.7
🐾Away
HR/FB
13.6
Hard%
41.7
FB%
43.1
Pull%
42.7
Soft%
9.7
GB%
36.3

🐾 = split that matches tonight (Away). Jade = SP suppresses contact (low Hard / FB / HR-FB allowed). Red = HR-prone tendency.

Contact Quality Allowed
HR/9
1.18
Barrel % Allowed
11.0
Hard-Hit % Allowed
47.3
Avg EV Allowed
91.3
Ballpark — Tonight's Venue
vs LHB (HR factor)
111
vs RHB (HR factor)
78
vs SHB (HR factor)
95

Nationals Park. 100 = league average; higher = HR-friendlier for that batter side.

Opposing Lineup — HR Threat
🐾 Tonight vs WSHProjected lineupTotal threat: 148%

Red = top HR threats (≥ 12% projected). The bigger the bat you can't avoid, the higher the SP's HR-allowed risk.

Pitch Arsenal (Top 3)
PitchUse%BRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%
FF⚡ PUT-AWAY🐾 EXPLOIT45.714.149.347.33418.5
SL24.77.142.171.30513.1
SI17.09.650.065.43112.5
CH12.510.044.080.3107.5
Platoon detail · vs LHB / vs RHB
FF4-Seam Fastball⚡ PUT-AWAY46% use
SplitBRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%PA
vs LHB⚡ PUT-AWAY🐾 EXPLOIT15.354.248.37915.590
vs RHB⚡ PUT-AWAY11.546.246.25821.356
SLSlider25% use
SplitBRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%PA
vs LHB🐾 EXPLOIT10.055.075.34713.831
vs RHB4.527.368.25913.232
SISinker17% use
SplitBRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%PA
vs LHB🐾 EXPLOIT22.255.656.5420.012
vs RHB7.053.567.40713.551
CHChangeup13% use
SplitBRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%PA
vs LHB🐾 EXPLOIT9.140.977.3242.623
vs RHB12.537.588.26618.212

🐾 Jade-ringed cells = top 4 HR-vulnerability flags (above-league BRL%-A, HH%-A, Pull%, xwOBA on this pitch). The pitches getting hammered. ⚡ PUT-AWAY = his go-to out-pitch (highest 2-strike K rate · 18.5% put-away); a 🐾 EXPLOIT tag means even that pitch is getting hit hard. Platoon detail below breaks each pitch into vs-LHB / vs-RHB — the jade-tagged side is the one hitting it hardest (the exploit), and the ⚡ PUT-AWAY tag marks his top out-pitch separately vs each hand.

HR Allowed by Opposing Lineup Spot
⚠ Gets punished most by spot #18 of 26 HRs allowed (31%).
8
1
🐾
6
2
🐾
6
3
🐾
3
4
·
1
5
·
6
·
2
7
·
8
·
9
·
Vulnerable to:#1#2#3

Inferred from first-inning batting order, 2024–2025 cached Statcast.