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Sean Manaea
NYM · SP
🐾 Tonight4:40 PM MT · Citizens Bank Park
Pitcher Strikeouts
52.4%
-110
🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾
Big Dawg Energy
Projected 5.6 K over 5.4 IP
Over 5.5 K
52.4%
-110
Over 6.5 K
33.0%
+203
Over 7.5 K
17.4%
+475
Over 8.5 K
7.5%
+1232
Season Pitching
ERA
4.78
WHIP
1.35
K/9
9.4
Expected IP
5.4
Fangraphs Projection (Rest of Season)
2026-07-16 · THE BAT
Proj IP
63
ERA
4.94
FIP
4.74
HR/9
1.64
K%
21.9
BB%
7.9
2026 Contact Allowed
🐾 Tonight: Away2026-07-16 · FG
Season
HR/FB
11.9
Hard%
31.8
FB%
38.4
Pull%
42.2
Soft%
17.0
GB%
39.3
vs LHB
HR/FB
11.8
Hard%
31.3
FB%
26.2
Pull%
35.8
Soft%
14.9
GB%
50.8
vs RHB
HR/FB
11.9
Hard%
32.1
FB%
43.5
Pull%
44.9
Soft%
17.9
GB%
34.4
Home
HR/FB
10.0
Hard%
34.9
FB%
39.2
Pull%
41.5
Soft%
18.9
GB%
34.3
🐾Away
HR/FB
13.6
Hard%
29.1
FB%
37.6
Pull%
42.7
Soft%
15.4
GB%
43.6

🐾 = split that matches tonight (Away). Jade = SP suppresses contact (low Hard / FB / HR-FB allowed). Red = HR-prone tendency.

Contact Quality Allowed
HR/9
1.10
Barrel % Allowed
9.2
Hard-Hit % Allowed
38.0
Avg EV Allowed
88.2
Ballpark — Tonight's Venue
vs LHB (HR factor)
131
vs RHB (HR factor)
92
vs SHB (HR factor)
111

Citizens Bank Park. 100 = league average; higher = HR-friendlier for that batter side.

Opposing Lineup — HR Threat
🐾 Tonight vs PHIProjected lineupTotal threat: 124%

Red = top HR threats (≥ 12% projected). The bigger the bat you can't avoid, the higher the SP's HR-allowed risk.

Pitch Arsenal (Top 3)
PitchUse%BRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%
FF37.211.551.040.33018.8
ST32.29.528.986.27920.2
SI⚡ PUT-AWAY18.72.532.555.32628.6
Platoon detail · vs LHB / vs RHB
FF4-Seam Fastball37% use
SplitBRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%PA
vs LHB🐾 EXPLOIT8.350.050.37623.120
vs RHB12.552.538.31618.064
STSweeper32% use
SplitBRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%PA
vs LHB15.438.585.20226.527
vs RHB🐾 EXPLOIT6.924.186.33415.043
SISinker⚡ PUT-AWAY19% use
SplitBRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%PA
vs LHB⚡ PUT-AWAY0.025.050.26427.323
vs RHB⚡ PUT-AWAY🐾 EXPLOIT5.040.060.37623.130

🐾 Jade-ringed cells = top 4 HR-vulnerability flags (above-league BRL%-A, HH%-A, Pull%, xwOBA on this pitch). The pitches getting hammered. ⚡ PUT-AWAY = his go-to out-pitch (highest 2-strike K rate · 28.6% put-away); a 🐾 EXPLOIT tag means even that pitch is getting hit hard. Platoon detail below breaks each pitch into vs-LHB / vs-RHB — the jade-tagged side is the one hitting it hardest (the exploit), and the ⚡ PUT-AWAY tag marks his top out-pitch separately vs each hand.

HR Profile — where he gets beat
vs LHB
2HR in 73 PA · 2.7%
Most off 4-Seamer
14 PA since last HR allowed
4-Seamer 1Sweeper 1
vs RHB🐾 exploit
4HR in 154 PA · 2.6%
Most off 4-Seamer
5 PA since last HR allowed
4-Seamer 2Cutter 1Sweeper 1
HR Allowed by Opposing Lineup Spot
⚠ Gets punished most by spot #17 of 21 HRs allowed (33%).
7
1
🐾
4
2
🐾
6
3
🐾
3
4
·
5
·
1
6
·
7
·
8
·
9
·
Vulnerable to:#1#3#2

Inferred from first-inning batting order, 2024–2025 cached Statcast.