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Lake BacharRHP
MIA · SP
🐾 Tonight2:05 PM MT · PNC Park
Pitcher Strikeouts
70.0%
-233
🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾
Big Dawg Energy
Projected 6.5 K over 5.8 IP
Over 5.5 K
70.0%
-233
Over 6.5 K
50.9%
-104
Over 7.5 K
31.7%
+215
Over 8.5 K
16.4%
+508
Season Pitching
ERA
2.97
WHIP
0.91
K/9
10.2
Expected IP
5.8
Fangraphs Projection (Rest of Season)
2026-06-13 · THE BAT
Proj IP
22
ERA
4.79
FIP
4.60
HR/9
1.45
K%
24.9
BB%
10.8
2026 Contact Allowed
🐾 Tonight: Away2026-06-13 · FG
Season
HR/FB
11.4
Hard%
34.1
FB%
50.6
Pull%
50.0
Soft%
14.8
GB%
35.6
vs LHB
HR/FB
8.7
Hard%
40.4
FB%
50.0
Pull%
48.9
Soft%
17.0
GB%
34.8
vs RHB
HR/FB
14.3
Hard%
26.8
FB%
51.2
Pull%
51.2
Soft%
12.2
GB%
36.6
Home
HR/FB
4.5
Hard%
17.8
FB%
50.0
Pull%
48.9
Soft%
17.8
GB%
34.1
🐾Away
HR/FB
18.2
Hard%
51.2
FB%
51.2
Pull%
51.2
Soft%
11.6
GB%
37.2

🐾 = split that matches tonight (Away). Jade = SP suppresses contact (low Hard / FB / HR-FB allowed). Red = HR-prone tendency.

Contact Quality Allowed
HR/9
1.25
Barrel % Allowed
6.8
Hard-Hit % Allowed
42.0
Avg EV Allowed
90.4
Ballpark — Tonight's Venue
vs LHB (HR factor)
85
vs RHB (HR factor)
86
vs SHB (HR factor)
85

PNC Park. 100 = league average; higher = HR-friendlier for that batter side.

Opposing Lineup — HR Threat
🐾 Tonight vs PITProjected lineupTotal threat: 92%

Red = top HR threats (≥ 12% projected). The bigger the bat you can't avoid, the higher the SP's HR-allowed risk.

Pitch Arsenal (Top 3)
PitchUse%BRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%
FF32.98.651.451.29215.9
SL⚡ PUT-AWAY23.95.937.571.25442.4
ST19.511.852.977.27320.8
CU11.90.057.157.23530.8
Platoon detail · vs LHB / vs RHB
FF4-Seam Fastball33% use
SplitBRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%PA
vs LHB🐾 EXPLOIT9.557.152.32114.828
vs RHB7.142.950.25015.819
SLSlider⚡ PUT-AWAY24% use
SplitBRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%PA
vs LHB⚡ PUT-AWAY🐾 EXPLOIT10.030.090.29152.425
vs RHB0.042.943.17631.212
STSweeper20% use
SplitBRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%PA
vs LHB🐾 EXPLOIT16.766.767.38416.79
vs RHB9.145.582.22421.620
CUCurveball12% use
SplitBRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%PA
vs LHB0.050.050.18523.58
vs RHB⚡ PUT-AWAY🐾 EXPLOIT0.066.767.28644.48

🐾 Jade-ringed cells = top 4 HR-vulnerability flags (above-league BRL%-A, HH%-A, Pull%, xwOBA on this pitch). The pitches getting hammered. ⚡ PUT-AWAY = his go-to out-pitch (highest 2-strike K rate · 42.4% put-away); a 🐾 EXPLOIT tag means even that pitch is getting hit hard. Platoon detail below breaks each pitch into vs-LHB / vs-RHB — the jade-tagged side is the one hitting it hardest (the exploit), and the ⚡ PUT-AWAY tag marks his top out-pitch separately vs each hand.

HR Allowed by Opposing Lineup Spot
⚠ Gets punished most by spot #22 of 5 HRs allowed (40%).
1
·
2
2
🐾
1
3
🐾
1
4
🐾
1
5
🐾
6
·
7
·
8
·
9
·
Vulnerable to:#2#3#4#5

Inferred from first-inning batting order, 2024–2025 cached Statcast.