โ† Back
Matthew LiberatoreLHP
STL ยท SP
๐Ÿพ Tonight12:10 PM MT ยท Target Field
Pitcher Strikeouts
34.3%
+191
๐Ÿพ๐Ÿพ๐Ÿพ๐Ÿพ๐Ÿพ
Big Dawg Energy
Projected 4.7 K over 5.1 IP
Over 5.5 K
34.3%
+191
Over 6.5 K
18.3%
+446
Over 7.5 K
8.0%
+1148
Over 8.5 K
2.9%
+3414
Season Pitching
ERA
4.48
WHIP
1.51
K/9
8.3
Expected IP
5.1
Fangraphs Projection (Rest of Season)
2026-06-12 ยท THE BAT
Proj IP
86
ERA
4.97
FIP
4.44
HR/9
1.31
K%
18.9
BB%
7.5
2026 Contact Allowed
๐Ÿพ Tonight: Away2026-06-12 ยท FG
Season
HR/FB
14.5
Hard%
38.1
FB%
38.2
Pull%
47.5
Soft%
10.9
GB%
38.7
vs LHB
HR/FB
33.3
Hard%
45.1
FB%
35.3
Pull%
49.0
Soft%
11.8
GB%
43.1
vs RHB
HR/FB
8.6
Hard%
35.8
FB%
39.2
Pull%
47.0
Soft%
10.6
GB%
37.2
Home
HR/FB
14.0
Hard%
39.5
FB%
39.4
Pull%
53.5
Soft%
10.9
GB%
38.6
๐ŸพAway
HR/FB
15.4
Hard%
35.6
FB%
36.1
Pull%
37.0
Soft%
11.0
GB%
38.9

๐Ÿพ = split that matches tonight (Away). Jade = SP suppresses contact (low Hard / FB / HR-FB allowed). Red = HR-prone tendency.

Contact Quality Allowed
HR/9
1.50
Barrel % Allowed
9.4
Hard-Hit % Allowed
44.1
Avg EV Allowed
91.6
Ballpark โ€” Tonight's Venue
vs LHB (HR factor)
107
vs RHB (HR factor)
94
vs SHB (HR factor)
100

Target Field. 100 = league average; higher = HR-friendlier for that batter side.

Opposing Lineup โ€” HR Threat
๐Ÿพ Tonight vs MINProjected lineupTotal threat: 137%

Red = top HR threats (โ‰ฅ 12% projected). The bigger the bat you can't avoid, the higher the SP's HR-allowed risk.

Pitch Arsenal (Top 3)
PitchUse%BRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%
FF33.110.747.948.4389.5
SLโšก PUT-AWAY๐Ÿพ EXPLOIT22.314.943.562.29328.0
CU15.87.733.354.20819.2
CH15.04.832.567.38610.5
Platoon detail ยท vs LHB / vs RHB
FF4-Seam Fastball33% use
SplitBRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%PA
vs LHB๐Ÿพ EXPLOIT16.758.342.61313.619
vs RHB9.547.649.4059.182
SLSliderโšก PUT-AWAY22% use
SplitBRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%PA
vs LHBโšก PUT-AWAY๐Ÿพ EXPLOIT20.048.060.33233.340
vs RHBโšก PUT-AWAY9.140.964.26126.046
CUCurveball16% use
SplitBRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%PA
vs LHBno sample
vs RHB9.136.455.20021.428
CHChangeup15% use
SplitBRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%PA
vs LHBno sample
vs RHB4.831.067.38615.049

๐Ÿพ Jade-ringed cells = top 4 HR-vulnerability flags (above-league BRL%-A, HH%-A, Pull%, xwOBA on this pitch). The pitches getting hammered. โšก PUT-AWAY = his go-to out-pitch (highest 2-strike K rate ยท 28.0% put-away); a ๐Ÿพ EXPLOIT tag means even that pitch is getting hit hard. Platoon detail below breaks each pitch into vs-LHB / vs-RHB โ€” the jade-tagged side is the one hitting it hardest (the exploit), and the โšก PUT-AWAY tag marks his top out-pitch separately vs each hand.

HR Allowed by Opposing Lineup Spot
โš  Gets punished most by spot #3 โ€” 5 of 17 HRs allowed (29%).
3
1
๐Ÿพ
3
2
๐Ÿพ
5
3
๐Ÿพ
3
4
๐Ÿพ
1
5
ยท
2
6
ยท
7
ยท
8
ยท
9
ยท
Vulnerable to:#3#1#2#4

Inferred from first-inning batting order, 2024โ€“2025 cached Statcast.