🐾 = split that matches tonight (Home). Jade = SP suppresses contact (low Hard / FB / HR-FB allowed). Red = HR-prone tendency.
⚠ Small sample (66 BBE allowed). League-average regression will dominate the model output.
Nationals Park. 100 = league average; higher = HR-friendlier for that batter side.
- Jac Caglianone(LHB)ISO .17215.1%
- Michael Massey(LHB)ISO .19712.3%
- John Rave(LHB)ISO —12.3%
- Carter Jensen(LHB)ISO .17312.0%
- Bobby Witt Jr.(RHB)ISO .17011.2%
- Isaac Collins(SHB)ISO .08910.6%
- Salvador Perez(RHB)ISO .1309.0%
- Maikel Garcia(RHB)ISO .1127.2%
- 2Lane Thomas(RHB)ISO .0997.0%
Red = top HR threats (≥ 12% projected). The bigger the bat you can't avoid, the higher the SP's HR-allowed risk.
| Pitch | Use% | BRL%-A | HH%-A | Pull% | xwOBA | Put% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SL | 29.8 | 13.3 | 40.0 | 60 | .406 | 16.2 |
| CU⚡ PUT-AWAY🐾 EXPLOIT | 27.7 | 0.0 | 57.1 | 79 | .192 | 27.9 |
| FF | 26.0 | 7.4 | 40.7 | 63 | .427 | 11.1 |
| SI | 14.0 | 11.1 | 55.6 | 67 | .326 | — |
| Split | BRL%-A | HH%-A | Pull% | xwOBA | Put% | PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB | 12.5 | 37.5 | 50 | .376 | 17.4 | 14 |
| vs RHB🐾 EXPLOIT | 14.3 | 42.9 | 71 | .444 | 14.3 | 11 |
| Split | BRL%-A | HH%-A | Pull% | xwOBA | Put% | PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB⚡ PUT-AWAY🐾 EXPLOIT | 0.0 | 57.1 | 71 | .256 | 23.1 | 10 |
| vs RHB⚡ PUT-AWAY | 0.0 | 57.1 | 86 | .163 | 29.2 | 22 |
| Split | BRL%-A | HH%-A | Pull% | xwOBA | Put% | PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB | no sample | |||||
| vs RHB | 8.3 | 45.8 | 63 | .444 | 13.0 | 31 |
| Split | BRL%-A | HH%-A | Pull% | xwOBA | Put% | PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB | 0.0 | 60.0 | 60 | .282 | — | 5 |
| vs RHB🐾 EXPLOIT | 25.0 | 50.0 | 75 | .370 | — | 5 |
🐾 Jade-ringed cells = top 4 HR-vulnerability flags (above-league BRL%-A, HH%-A, Pull%, xwOBA on this pitch). The pitches getting hammered. ⚡ PUT-AWAY = his go-to out-pitch (highest 2-strike K rate · 27.9% put-away); a 🐾 EXPLOIT tag means even that pitch is getting hit hard. Platoon detail below breaks each pitch into vs-LHB / vs-RHB — the jade-tagged side is the one hitting it hardest (the exploit), and the ⚡ PUT-AWAY tag marks his top out-pitch separately vs each hand.