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Kyle LeahyRHP
STL · SP
🐾 Tonight12:15 PM MT · Busch Stadium
Pitcher Strikeouts
24.9%
+302
🐾🐾🐾🐾🐾
Big Dawg Energy
Projected 4.1 K over 5.1 IP
Over 5.5 K
24.9%
+302
Over 6.5 K
11.9%
+739
Over 7.5 K
4.7%
+2046
Over 8.5 K
1.5%
+6716
Season Pitching
ERA
4.64
WHIP
1.59
K/9
7.3
Expected IP
5.1
Fangraphs Projection (Rest of Season)
2026-06-16 · THE BAT
Proj IP
79
ERA
5.36
FIP
4.68
HR/9
1.32
K%
17.2
BB%
8.1
2026 Contact Allowed
🐾 Tonight: Home2026-06-16 · FG
Season
HR/FB
13.8
Hard%
41.1
FB%
31.3
Pull%
42.1
Soft%
11.0
GB%
42.8
vs LHB
HR/FB
18.2
Hard%
47.3
FB%
29.7
Pull%
45.5
Soft%
7.1
GB%
46.8
vs RHB
HR/FB
9.4
Hard%
34.0
FB%
33.0
Pull%
38.1
Soft%
15.5
GB%
38.1
🐾Home
HR/FB
0.0
Hard%
39.6
FB%
29.7
Pull%
37.6
Soft%
12.9
GB%
39.6
Away
HR/FB
25.7
Hard%
42.6
FB%
32.7
Pull%
46.3
Soft%
9.3
GB%
45.8

🐾 = split that matches tonight (Home). Jade = SP suppresses contact (low Hard / FB / HR-FB allowed). Red = HR-prone tendency.

Contact Quality Allowed
HR/9
1.27
Barrel % Allowed
12.0
Hard-Hit % Allowed
50.2
Avg EV Allowed
92.2
Ballpark — Tonight's Venue
vs LHB (HR factor)
89
vs RHB (HR factor)
92
vs SHB (HR factor)
90

Busch Stadium. 100 = league average; higher = HR-friendlier for that batter side.

Opposing Lineup — HR Threat
🐾 Tonight vs SDProjected lineupTotal threat: 134%

Red = top HR threats (≥ 12% projected). The bigger the bat you can't avoid, the higher the SP's HR-allowed risk.

Pitch Arsenal (Top 3)
PitchUse%BRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%
FF28.916.466.751.45517.2
CU⚡ PUT-AWAY🐾 EXPLOIT15.87.460.082.28820.7
SL15.812.140.661.37513.3
SI13.54.344.254.41714.3
Platoon detail · vs LHB / vs RHB
FF4-Seam Fastball29% use
SplitBRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%PA
vs LHB🐾 EXPLOIT16.365.149.47417.557
vs RHB16.755.656.40213.022
CUCurveball⚡ PUT-AWAY16% use
SplitBRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%PA
vs LHB10.060.075.29222.733
vs RHB0.042.9100.27011.19
SLSlider16% use
SplitBRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%PA
vs LHB🐾 EXPLOIT7.135.786.4280.017
vs RHB⚡ PUT-AWAY15.842.142.33428.623
SISinker14% use
SplitBRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%PA
vs LHB⚡ PUT-AWAY🐾 EXPLOIT10.080.080.53727.314
vs RHB2.833.347.38013.652

🐾 Jade-ringed cells = top 4 HR-vulnerability flags (above-league BRL%-A, HH%-A, Pull%, xwOBA on this pitch). The pitches getting hammered. ⚡ PUT-AWAY = his go-to out-pitch (highest 2-strike K rate · 20.7% put-away); a 🐾 EXPLOIT tag means even that pitch is getting hit hard. Platoon detail below breaks each pitch into vs-LHB / vs-RHB — the jade-tagged side is the one hitting it hardest (the exploit), and the ⚡ PUT-AWAY tag marks his top out-pitch separately vs each hand.

HR Profile — where he gets beat
vs LHB🐾 exploit
6HR in 161 PA · 3.7%
Most off 4-Seamer
31 PA since last HR allowed
4-Seamer 3Changeup 1Curveball 1Sinker 1
vs RHB
3HR in 148 PA · 2.0%
Most off 4-Seamer
6 PA since last HR allowed
4-Seamer 1Slider 1Sweeper 1
HR Allowed by Opposing Lineup Spot
⚠ Gets punished most by spot #33 of 5 HRs allowed (60%).
1
1
·
1
2
·
3
3
🐾
4
·
5
·
6
·
7
·
8
·
9
·
Vulnerable to:#3

Inferred from first-inning batting order, 2024–2025 cached Statcast.