โ† Back
Jared JonesRHP
PIT ยท SP
๐Ÿพ Tonight7:40 PM MT ยท Sutter Health Park
Pitcher Strikeouts
53.4%
-115
๐Ÿพ๐Ÿพ๐Ÿพ๐Ÿพ๐Ÿพ
Big Dawg Energy
Projected 5.7 K over 5.4 IP
Over 5.5 K
53.4%
-115
Over 6.5 K
33.9%
+195
Over 7.5 K
18.0%
+455
Over 8.5 K
7.8%
+1173
Season Pitching
ERA
4.73
WHIP
1.43
K/9
9.4
Expected IP
5.4
Fangraphs Projection (Rest of Season)
2026-06-14 ยท THE BAT
Proj IP
76
ERA
4.50
FIP
4.13
HR/9
1.30
K%
23.6
BB%
8.1
2026 Contact Allowed
๐Ÿพ Tonight: Away2026-06-14 ยท FG
Season
HR/FB
11.8
Hard%
41.0
FB%
43.6
Pull%
46.2
Soft%
12.8
GB%
41.0

๐Ÿพ = split that matches tonight (Away). Jade = SP suppresses contact (low Hard / FB / HR-FB allowed). Red = HR-prone tendency.

Contact Quality Allowed
HR/9
1.37
Barrel % Allowed
10.3
Hard-Hit % Allowed
46.2
Avg EV Allowed
89.8

โš  Small sample (39 BBE allowed). League-average regression will dominate the model output.

Ballpark โ€” Tonight's Venue
vs LHB (HR factor)
95
vs RHB (HR factor)
114
vs SHB (HR factor)
104

Sutter Health Park. 100 = league average; higher = HR-friendlier for that batter side.

Opposing Lineup โ€” HR Threat
๐Ÿพ Tonight vs ATHProjected lineupTotal threat: 134%

Red = top HR threats (โ‰ฅ 12% projected). The bigger the bat you can't avoid, the higher the SP's HR-allowed risk.

Pitch Arsenal (Top 3)
PitchUse%BRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%
FF38.921.147.433.458โ€”
SL35.80.028.664.229โ€”
CH13.30.0100.0100.263โ€”
CU11.90.066.733.368โ€”
Platoon detail ยท vs LHB / vs RHB
FF4-Seamer39% use
SplitBRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%PA
vs LHBโšก PUT-AWAY๐Ÿพ EXPLOIT36.463.640.57828.617
vs RHBโšก PUT-AWAY0.025.025.25516.710
SLSlider36% use
SplitBRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%PA
vs LHB๐Ÿพ EXPLOIT0.040.060.33423.19
vs RHB0.022.267.13612.510

๐Ÿพ Jade-ringed cells = top 4 HR-vulnerability flags (above-league BRL%-A, HH%-A, Pull%, xwOBA on this pitch). The pitches getting hammered. Platoon detail below breaks each pitch into vs-LHB / vs-RHB โ€” the jade-tagged side is the one hitting it hardest (the exploit), and the โšก PUT-AWAY tag marks his top out-pitch separately vs each hand.

HR Profile โ€” where he gets beat
vs LHB๐Ÿพ exploit
2HR in 33 PA ยท 6.1%
Most off 4-Seamer
23 PA since last HR allowed
4-Seamer 2
vs RHB
0HR in 25 PA ยท 0.0%
HR Allowed by Opposing Lineup Spot
โš  Gets punished most by spot #1 โ€” 2 of 7 HRs allowed (29%).
2
1
๐Ÿพ
2
2
๐Ÿพ
2
3
๐Ÿพ
1
4
๐Ÿพ
5
ยท
6
ยท
7
ยท
8
ยท
9
ยท
Vulnerable to:#1#2#3#4

Inferred from first-inning batting order, 2024โ€“2025 cached Statcast.