โ† Back
Ryan GustoRHP
MIA ยท SP
๐Ÿพ Tonight4:40 PM MT ยท Citizens Bank Park
Pitcher Strikeouts
40.1%
+149
๐Ÿพ๐Ÿพ๐Ÿพ๐Ÿพ๐Ÿพ
Big Dawg Energy
Projected 5.0 K over 5 IP
Over 5.5 K
40.1%
+149
Over 6.5 K
22.7%
+341
Over 7.5 K
10.6%
+847
Over 8.5 K
4.0%
+2396
Season Pitching
ERA
6.00
WHIP
1.44
K/9
9.0
Expected IP
5.0
Fangraphs Projection (Rest of Season)
2026-06-14 ยท THE BAT
Proj IP
49
ERA
4.71
FIP
4.46
HR/9
1.26
K%
19.2
BB%
8.2
Contact Quality Allowed
HR/9
โ€”
Barrel % Allowed
10.3
Hard-Hit % Allowed
48.3
Avg EV Allowed
88.7

โš  Small sample (29 BBE allowed). League-average regression will dominate the model output.

Ballpark โ€” Tonight's Venue
vs LHB (HR factor)
131
vs RHB (HR factor)
92
vs SHB (HR factor)
111

Citizens Bank Park. 100 = league average; higher = HR-friendlier for that batter side.

Opposing Lineup โ€” HR Threat
๐Ÿพ Tonight vs PHIProjected lineupTotal threat: 116%

Red = top HR threats (โ‰ฅ 12% projected). The bigger the bat you can't avoid, the higher the SP's HR-allowed risk.

Pitch Arsenal (Top 3)
PitchUse%BRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%
FF31.120.060.00.410โ€”
Platoon detail ยท vs LHB / vs RHB
FF4-Seamer31% use
SplitBRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%PA
vs LHBno sample
vs RHBโšก PUT-AWAY25.050.00.45314.36

๐Ÿพ Jade-ringed cells = top 4 HR-vulnerability flags (above-league BRL%-A, HH%-A, Pull%, xwOBA on this pitch). The pitches getting hammered. Platoon detail below breaks each pitch into vs-LHB / vs-RHB โ€” the jade-tagged side is the one hitting it hardest (the exploit), and the โšก PUT-AWAY tag marks his top out-pitch separately vs each hand.

HR Profile โ€” where he gets beat
vs LHB๐Ÿพ exploit
0HR in 23 PA ยท 0.0%
vs RHB
0HR in 17 PA ยท 0.0%
HR Allowed by Opposing Lineup Spot
โš  Gets punished most by spot #5 โ€” 4 of 11 HRs allowed (36%).
2
1
๐Ÿพ
3
2
๐Ÿพ
1
3
ยท
4
ยท
4
5
๐Ÿพ
1
6
ยท
7
ยท
8
ยท
9
ยท
Vulnerable to:#5#2#1

Inferred from first-inning batting order, 2024โ€“2025 cached Statcast.