๐พ = split that matches tonight (Away). Jade = SP suppresses contact (low Hard / FB / HR-FB allowed). Red = HR-prone tendency.
โ Small sample (52 BBE allowed). League-average regression will dominate the model output.
Chase Field. 100 = league average; higher = HR-friendlier for that batter side.
- 1Ketel Marte(SHB)ISO .18511.4%
- 3Gabriel Moreno(RHB)ISO .17810.2%
- 8Jordan Lawlar(RHB)ISO โ9.7%
- Jorge Barrosa(SHB)ISO โ9.7%
- 2Corbin Carroll(LHB)ISO .2629.1%
- 4Nolan Arenado(RHB)ISO .1608.2%
- Adrian Del Castillo(LHB)ISO โ7.6%
- 7Ildemaro Vargas(SHB)ISO .1517.2%
- 6Geraldo Perdomo(SHB)ISO .1186.0%
Red = top HR threats (โฅ 12% projected). The bigger the bat you can't avoid, the higher the SP's HR-allowed risk.
| Pitch | Use% | BRL%-A | HH%-A | Pull% | xwOBA | Put% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FF | 41.8 | 4.2 | 29.2 | 50 | .333 | 10.0 |
| CHโก PUT-AWAY | 33.0 | 6.7 | 40.0 | 67 | .236 | 21.4 |
| FC | 16.5 | 0.0 | 36.4 | 55 | .336 | 12.5 |
| Split | BRL%-A | HH%-A | Pull% | xwOBA | Put% | PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHBโก PUT-AWAY๐พ EXPLOIT | 0.0 | 28.6 | 71 | .442 | 8.3 | 11 |
| vs RHB | 5.9 | 29.4 | 41 | .274 | 11.1 | 20 |
| Split | BRL%-A | HH%-A | Pull% | xwOBA | Put% | PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB | no sample | |||||
| vs RHBโก PUT-AWAY | 7.7 | 46.2 | 69 | .214 | 30.0 | 21 |
| Split | BRL%-A | HH%-A | Pull% | xwOBA | Put% | PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB | 0.0 | 33.3 | 44 | .349 | 0.0 | 11 |
| vs RHB | no sample | |||||
๐พ Jade-ringed cells = top 4 HR-vulnerability flags (above-league BRL%-A, HH%-A, Pull%, xwOBA on this pitch). The pitches getting hammered. โก PUT-AWAY = his go-to out-pitch (highest 2-strike K rate ยท 21.4% put-away); a ๐พ EXPLOIT tag means even that pitch is getting hit hard. Platoon detail below breaks each pitch into vs-LHB / vs-RHB โ the jade-tagged side is the one hitting it hardest (the exploit), and the โก PUT-AWAY tag marks his top out-pitch separately vs each hand.
Inferred from first-inning batting order, 2024โ2025 cached Statcast.