โ† Back
Sam AldegheriLHP
LAA ยท SP
๐Ÿพ Tonight1:40 PM MT ยท Chase Field
Pitcher Strikeouts
19.9%
+402
๐Ÿพ๐Ÿพ๐Ÿพ๐Ÿพ๐Ÿพ
Big Dawg Energy
Projected 3.8 K over 5.4 IP
Over 5.5 K
19.9%
+402
Over 6.5 K
8.9%
+1020
Over 7.5 K
3.3%
+2975
Over 8.5 K
0.9%
+10411
Season Pitching
ERA
2.12
WHIP
1.29
K/9
6.3
Expected IP
5.4
Fangraphs Projection (Rest of Season)
2026-06-16 ยท THE BAT
Proj IP
41
ERA
5.48
FIP
5.23
HR/9
1.43
K%
16.5
BB%
10.3
2026 Contact Allowed
๐Ÿพ Tonight: Away2026-06-16 ยท FG
Season
HR/FB
3.6
Hard%
34.6
FB%
56.0
Pull%
34.6
Soft%
21.2
GB%
30.0
vs RHB
HR/FB
0.0
Hard%
40.6
FB%
60.0
Pull%
37.5
Soft%
15.6
GB%
26.7
Home
HR/FB
0.0
Hard%
36.2
FB%
53.3
Pull%
34.0
Soft%
21.3
GB%
33.3

๐Ÿพ = split that matches tonight (Away). Jade = SP suppresses contact (low Hard / FB / HR-FB allowed). Red = HR-prone tendency.

Contact Quality Allowed
HR/9
0.53
Barrel % Allowed
5.8
Hard-Hit % Allowed
34.6
Avg EV Allowed
84.9

โš  Small sample (52 BBE allowed). League-average regression will dominate the model output.

Ballpark โ€” Tonight's Venue
vs LHB (HR factor)
82
vs RHB (HR factor)
106
vs SHB (HR factor)
94

Chase Field. 100 = league average; higher = HR-friendlier for that batter side.

Opposing Lineup โ€” HR Threat
๐Ÿพ Tonight vs ARIProjected lineupTotal threat: 79%

Red = top HR threats (โ‰ฅ 12% projected). The bigger the bat you can't avoid, the higher the SP's HR-allowed risk.

Pitch Arsenal (Top 3)
PitchUse%BRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%
FF41.84.229.250.33310.0
CHโšก PUT-AWAY33.06.740.067.23621.4
FC16.50.036.455.33612.5
Platoon detail ยท vs LHB / vs RHB
FF4-Seam Fastball42% use
SplitBRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%PA
vs LHBโšก PUT-AWAY๐Ÿพ EXPLOIT0.028.671.4428.311
vs RHB5.929.441.27411.120
CHChangeupโšก PUT-AWAY33% use
SplitBRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%PA
vs LHBno sample
vs RHBโšก PUT-AWAY7.746.269.21430.021
FCCutter17% use
SplitBRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%PA
vs LHB0.033.344.3490.011
vs RHBno sample

๐Ÿพ Jade-ringed cells = top 4 HR-vulnerability flags (above-league BRL%-A, HH%-A, Pull%, xwOBA on this pitch). The pitches getting hammered. โšก PUT-AWAY = his go-to out-pitch (highest 2-strike K rate ยท 21.4% put-away); a ๐Ÿพ EXPLOIT tag means even that pitch is getting hit hard. Platoon detail below breaks each pitch into vs-LHB / vs-RHB โ€” the jade-tagged side is the one hitting it hardest (the exploit), and the โšก PUT-AWAY tag marks his top out-pitch separately vs each hand.

HR Profile โ€” where he gets beat
vs LHB๐Ÿพ exploit
1HR in 26 PA ยท 3.9%
Most off Slider
21 PA since last HR allowed
Slider 1
vs RHB
0HR in 47 PA ยท 0.0%
HR Allowed by Opposing Lineup Spot
โš  Gets punished most by spot #2 โ€” 2 of 5 HRs allowed (40%).
1
ยท
2
2
๐Ÿพ
3
ยท
1
4
๐Ÿพ
1
5
๐Ÿพ
6
ยท
1
7
๐Ÿพ
8
ยท
9
ยท
Vulnerable to:#2#4#5#7

Inferred from first-inning batting order, 2024โ€“2025 cached Statcast.