โ† Back
Gage Jump
ATH ยท SP
๐Ÿพ Tonight7:40 PM MT ยท Sutter Health Park
Pitcher Strikeouts
29.1%
+244
๐Ÿพ๐Ÿพ๐Ÿพ๐Ÿพ๐Ÿพ
Big Dawg Energy
Projected 4.4 K over 5.4 IP
Over 5.5 K
29.1%
+244
Over 6.5 K
14.7%
+582
Over 7.5 K
6.0%
+1554
Over 8.5 K
2.0%
+4867
Season Pitching
ERA
3.09
WHIP
1.11
K/9
7.3
Expected IP
5.4
Fangraphs Projection (Rest of Season)
2026-07-16 ยท THE BAT
Proj IP
56
ERA
5.18
FIP
4.63
HR/9
1.55
K%
21.8
BB%
8.0
2026 Contact Allowed
๐Ÿพ Tonight: Home2026-07-16 ยท FG
Season
HR/FB
7.4
Hard%
40.6
FB%
39.1
Pull%
39.9
Soft%
10.9
GB%
39.1
vs LHB
HR/FB
7.1
Hard%
28.9
FB%
36.8
Pull%
42.1
Soft%
10.5
GB%
36.8
vs RHB
HR/FB
7.5
Hard%
45.0
FB%
40.0
Pull%
39.0
Soft%
11.0
GB%
40.0
๐ŸพHome
HR/FB
12.1
Hard%
43.2
FB%
40.7
Pull%
42.0
Soft%
6.2
GB%
38.3
Away
HR/FB
0.0
Hard%
36.8
FB%
36.8
Pull%
36.8
Soft%
17.5
GB%
40.4

๐Ÿพ = split that matches tonight (Home). Jade = SP suppresses contact (low Hard / FB / HR-FB allowed). Red = HR-prone tendency.

Contact Quality Allowed
HR/9
โ€”
Barrel % Allowed
3.0
Hard-Hit % Allowed
29.9
Avg EV Allowed
87.7

โš  Small sample (67 BBE allowed). League-average regression will dominate the model output.

Ballpark โ€” Tonight's Venue
vs LHB (HR factor)
95
vs RHB (HR factor)
114
vs SHB (HR factor)
104

Sutter Health Park. 100 = league average; higher = HR-friendlier for that batter side.

Opposing Lineup โ€” HR Threat
๐Ÿพ Tonight vs LAAProjected lineupTotal threat: 112%

Red = top HR threats (โ‰ฅ 12% projected). The bigger the bat you can't avoid, the higher the SP's HR-allowed risk.

Pitch Arsenal (Top 3)
PitchUse%BRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%
FF49.73.229.055.29018.2
SL24.75.035.065.35312.5
CU9.00.033.350.21621.1
STโšก PUT-AWAY7.00.028.686.21235.7
Platoon detail ยท vs LHB / vs RHB
FF4-Seam Fastball50% use
SplitBRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%PA
vs LHB0.00.00.31625.07
vs RHB3.733.363.28517.536
SLSlider25% use
SplitBRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%PA
vs LHB๐Ÿพ EXPLOIT14.357.157.503โ€”8
vs RHB0.023.169.28214.317
CUCurveball9% use
SplitBRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%PA
vs LHBno sample
vs RHBโšก PUT-AWAY0.033.367.23021.48
STSweeperโšก PUT-AWAY7% use
SplitBRL%-AHH%-APull%xwOBAPut%PA
vs LHBโšก PUT-AWAY0.00.080.13342.98
vs RHBno sample

๐Ÿพ Jade-ringed cells = top 4 HR-vulnerability flags (above-league BRL%-A, HH%-A, Pull%, xwOBA on this pitch). The pitches getting hammered. โšก PUT-AWAY = his go-to out-pitch (highest 2-strike K rate ยท 35.7% put-away); a ๐Ÿพ EXPLOIT tag means even that pitch is getting hit hard. Platoon detail below breaks each pitch into vs-LHB / vs-RHB โ€” the jade-tagged side is the one hitting it hardest (the exploit), and the โšก PUT-AWAY tag marks his top out-pitch separately vs each hand.

HR Profile โ€” where he gets beat
vs LHB๐Ÿพ exploit
0HR in 27 PA ยท 0.0%
vs RHB
0HR in 68 PA ยท 0.0%